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Global hop market

A local alternative to mass beer suggested by independent brewers has been successful and is now altering the global market. Beer is becoming more diversified, so transnational companies have to accept the new game rules and to switch focus to young and fast growing markets. All these processes increased the demand for aroma and bitter hop as well as their acreage expansion on two continents. However now there appeared a downward trend of alcohol consumption in the world, so even special sorts can soon turn to be sufficient. In this connection the dynamic American hop market is already facing some problems. EU hop producers have become more cautious, they are not racing to exceed the demand and look forward with more confidence, judging by the contract terms. 

Hop Market in Russia

Germany still dominates the Russian market, yet over the recent two years one has been able observe a continuous success of Czech hop suppliers. Their expansion and growing popularity of hops from the United States became the drivers of supplies growth in 2016 despite the preceding modest harvest crop in the EU, as well as the factor of relative stability in 2017. In this connection, in 2017, the ratio of the varieties continued to shift towards the aroma ones, and the supplies of Magnum hop and other alpha varieties were reduced. However, the import of bitter hop pellets is partially replaced by extracts, especially from the major beer manufacturers. Total volumes of alpha acid supplies, according to our estimation, decreased by approximately 5% and returned to the level of 2015. Barth Haas Group continues dominating the hop products market; HVG also increased its weight. At the same time, Morris Hanbury significantly reduced the supplies in 2017.

SABMiller Takeover of Foster’s Would Benefit Both Companies, Moody’s Says

SABMiller Plc (SAB)’s A$9.5 billion ($9.9 billion) takeover offer of Foster’s Group Ltd. (FGL) would benefit both companies’ earnings and help them cut costs if a deal is completed, according to Moody’s Investors Service.

SABMiller, the world’s second-largest brewer by volume, would get access to a profitable cash-generating business and reduce its reliance on developing markets, Moody’s said in an e-mailed report today. Melbourne-based Foster’s would benefit from being part of a materially larger and higher-rated company, Moody’s said.

Foster’s rejected SABMiller’s conditional cash offer last week as too low, in what would be the biggest takeover in the beer industry since 2008. London-based SABMiller said it would pursue Foster’s as it seeks a brewer with about half the Australian market and the top-selling brew in Victoria Bitter.

“SABMiller has historically been an acquisitive company with a good track record at integrating purchased assets,” Yasmina Serghini-Douvin and Maurice O’Connell, Moody’s analysts, wrote in the report. “If the acquisition proceeds, it would be credit positive for both companies with expected benefits in terms of diversification, scale and cost savings.”

Moody’s rates Foster’s Baa2, two levels above junk status. SABMiller is rated one level higher at Baa1.

The offer by SABMiller “significantly undervalues” Foster’s, the Australian brewer said June 21.

An acquisition of Foster’s would be SABMiller’s biggest, giving the maker of Peroni and Grolsch seven of Australia’s top 10 selling beers. It would be the biggest takeover of a beermaker since 2008, when InBev NV acquired St. Louis-based Anheuser-Busch Cos. for $52 billion to form Anheuser-Busch InBev NV, the world’s largest brewer by volume.

28 Jun. 2011

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