10+1 trends of Russian beer market 2015-2017Despite of the moderately negative prognoses for 2017, the beer market can be stabilized soon. Yet the years of the negative dynamics have resulted in marketing being limited just to “optimization” and the art of balancing between price and volumes. Bigger supermarkets share means stronger trade marketing. These processes are connected to the majority of the described trends. At the same time, the federal brands inflation leads to searching for new tastes, sales channels and contact formats that expand the product range and diversify the beer market, but do not imply a substantial volume increase. Let us enumerate and further discuss the ten trends of the beer market we can see in 2015-2017 as well as the major event of 2017.
Beer market of Ukraine 2017In the first half of 2017, the Ukrainian beer market goes on decreasing slowly. Yet, the companies manage to compensate their lost volumes by raising prices and improving the sales structures. This results in the mid price market segment reduction while the sales of premium brands are rising. These processes are connected to position strengthening of companies Carlsberg Group and Oasis and the market share reduction of Obolon. Most of the novelties by the market leaders belong to craft or hard lemon categories.
Beer market of Russia 2016: PET goes to draftThe beer market of Russia was warmed up by the hot summer, but the preparation for large volume PET prohibition has already impacted it negatively. The year was successful for Efes, MBC and regional producers; Carlsberg’s positions were virtually stable but AB InBev and Heineken lost a part of market share having focused on the sales profitability. The dynamics of big brands was determined by how much the companies were willing to keep the prices down or by their promotional activity. In this context the economy segment of the beer market and sales of inexpensive draft beer were increasing. The premium segment started shrinking due to license brands migrating to the mainstream segment.
Beer market of Vietnam: “Young tiger”Vietnam is one of the few big beer markets that continue to grow steadily. The beer popularity results from its low price, street consumption culture, and social motives. The outlooks of beer market as well as the Vietnamese economy inspire optimism, though the country is heavily dependent on export of goods. The state regulation can be called liberal, but the key risk for brewers is harbored in intensive rising of excise. Within TOP-4 there are two leaders, Sabeco and Heineken that grow at the fastest rates. The first company effectively employs its capacities, the second one focuses on marketing technologies. Almost 80% of the market belongs to century-old brands, yet the middle class and the youth are shifting their interest toward international premium that is growing taking share from the mainstream.
Chinese consumers demand premium beer products
Secretary General of CADA Yong He said the tremendous annual growth of the domestic beer market would no longer exist. Instead, it will experience periodic growth, as the Chinese market matures.
Chinese beer market overview
Five companies – Snow, Tsingtao, AB InBev, Yanjing and Carlsberg— now together make up 75% of the total market share, according to Shanghai-based Mintel analyst, Simon Moriarty.
“Carlsberg in particular has benefitted from the acquisition of Chongqing Brewery and a strategy of premiumization,” he said. “In terms of brand penetration, 80% of consumers drank Tsingtao in the 12 months to June 2015, 77% drank Snow, and 66% drank Harbin.”
In addition, only 1% of Chinese consumers drink international beer exclusively, according to Moriarty.
“In general, beer is a local product in China. It is not uncommon for some beers to be the most popular in the region of origin but unavailable elsewhere in the country.”
However, Chinese beers are cheaper and weaker than international beers on the whole, Moriarty added, because a lighter and sweeter flavor fits Chinese consumers. “Carlsberg launched Carlsberg Chill to tap into this market,” he said.
“Haitao” drives foreign beer imports
Chinese consumer insight expert, Danpeng Zhu, said beer companies in the country are redesigning their products in order to fit the consumer trends in 2016. Meanwhile, international brands will continue to grow in China, he said.
Even though most Chinese consumers don’t drink foreign beers because they don’t know much about them, Moriarty said, there will be growth especially in smaller, niche breweries from international craft brands, like BrewDog, thanks to Haitao.
Haitao refers to buying foreign products online from overseas or domestic websites in Mandarin. Moriarty suggested more international beers should take the opportunity to target consumers in China, who will be willing to try new products and purchase them online.
Overall, western trends will continue to influence Chinese consumers’ habits and lifestyles, Moriarty added, but the traditional strengthen of domestic beer brands will not be massively impacted.
Premiumization is the biggest upcoming trend
Whether it is trading up to new flavors, functional beers, international brands or limited edition beers, Moriarty believes premiumization will be a continued trend for Chinese consumers who want experience and flavor from their beer.
“Premium beer will grow by value to RMB 40.2 billion in 2020, from RMB 27.1 billion in 2015,” he said.
If it is assumed that craft beers form part of the premium segment because they are stronger and more expensive than mass produced lagers, Moriarty added, that segment overall has enjoyed a growth of 7.4% to a value of RMB 26.8 billion from 2011 to 2014.
In addition, Moriarty predicts that functional ingredients will be well received by Chinese beer consumers.
“So there is potential for 'beauty beers' and 'healthy beers',” he said. “Especially as the government's anti-extravagance campaign has cut down consumer spending on alcohol out of home, brands that offer a beneficial experience for relaxing at home will do well.”
13 Apr. 2016