Global hop marketA local alternative to mass beer suggested by independent brewers has been successful and is now altering the global market. Beer is becoming more diversified, so transnational companies have to accept the new game rules and to switch focus to young and fast growing markets. All these processes increased the demand for aroma and bitter hop as well as their acreage expansion on two continents. However now there appeared a downward trend of alcohol consumption in the world, so even special sorts can soon turn to be sufficient. In this connection the dynamic American hop market is already facing some problems. EU hop producers have become more cautious, they are not racing to exceed the demand and look forward with more confidence, judging by the contract terms.
Hop Market in RussiaGermany still dominates the Russian market, yet over the recent two years one has been able observe a continuous success of Czech hop suppliers. Their expansion and growing popularity of hops from the United States became the drivers of supplies growth in 2016 despite the preceding modest harvest crop in the EU, as well as the factor of relative stability in 2017. In this connection, in 2017, the ratio of the varieties continued to shift towards the aroma ones, and the supplies of Magnum hop and other alpha varieties were reduced. However, the import of bitter hop pellets is partially replaced by extracts, especially from the major beer manufacturers. Total volumes of alpha acid supplies, according to our estimation, decreased by approximately 5% and returned to the level of 2015. Barth Haas Group continues dominating the hop products market; HVG also increased its weight. At the same time, Morris Hanbury significantly reduced the supplies in 2017.
10+1 trends of Russian beer market 2015-2017Despite of the moderately negative prognoses for 2017, the beer market can be stabilized soon. Yet the years of the negative dynamics have resulted in marketing being limited just to “optimization” and the art of balancing between price and volumes. Bigger supermarkets share means stronger trade marketing. These processes are connected to the majority of the described trends. At the same time, the federal brands inflation leads to searching for new tastes, sales channels and contact formats that expand the product range and diversify the beer market, but do not imply a substantial volume increase. Let us enumerate and further discuss the ten trends of the beer market we can see in 2015-2017 as well as the major event of 2017.
Beer market of Ukraine 2017In the first half of 2017, the Ukrainian beer market goes on decreasing slowly. Yet, the companies manage to compensate their lost volumes by raising prices and improving the sales structures. This results in the mid price market segment reduction while the sales of premium brands are rising. These processes are connected to position strengthening of companies Carlsberg Group and Oasis and the market share reduction of Obolon. Most of the novelties by the market leaders belong to craft or hard lemon categories.
Beer market of Russia 2016: PET goes to draftThe beer market of Russia was warmed up by the hot summer, but the preparation for large volume PET prohibition has already impacted it negatively. The year was successful for Efes, MBC and regional producers; Carlsberg’s positions were virtually stable but AB InBev and Heineken lost a part of market share having focused on the sales profitability. The dynamics of big brands was determined by how much the companies were willing to keep the prices down or by their promotional activity. In this context the economy segment of the beer market and sales of inexpensive draft beer were increasing. The premium segment started shrinking due to license brands migrating to the mainstream segment.
The Russian aluminum king was asked not to destroy the beer industry
At the end of March, the Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev instructed to accelerate the adoption of the bill on the gradual reduction of production and turnover of alcoholic products in the consumer packaging made of polymeric materials. The Prime Minister suggested the state Duma to consider this issue in the spring session, and to report the results on June 1. The decree was taken following the meeting on Motovilikhinskiye plants in Perm, dedicated to ferrous and non-ferrous metallurgy.
At the meeting, Deripaska said that the rejection of PET would contribute to the development of the aluminum industry. However, the Union of brewers does not agree with his point of view. “Maybe you think that the ban of plastic will switch the consumption of beer in aluminum cans, but it's not. We know our consumers and understand what they are buying beer in plastic because it is much cheaper. Many of them simply can't afford the product in a wonderful package from your “winged metal”. As a result of this ban, they will switch to cheap vodka, and in glass bottles,” this was said in an open letter.
The effect of the plastic ban will result in an additional sale of several thousand tons of aluminum. The market participants predict that the demand for aluminum cans will increase by a few percent, but the demand for beer in general will fall by 20-30%. “The regions will lose 40 billion rubles in taxes, tens of thousands of people lose their jobs, and alcoholism will grow. Do several thousand tons of aluminum worth all of this?” the brewers ask at Deripaska.
According to them, nearly a quarter of the Russian beer is packaged in aluminum cans, it is used glass and PET for the rest. At the same time, the Union of brewers approves the increase in the demand for beer in aluminum cans because it is more expensive and brings higher profits. But the demand will recover without any restrictions, with the rise in living standards, the manufacturers say.
The Union of brewers asked Deripaska not to use his influence in the government and among the deputies for “the destruction of the brewing industry”. It will not bring you any additional benefits, but this will do great damage to the country,” the authors conclude.
We will recall that last year the National Union of Consumer Rights Protection has launched an advertising campaign called “Ban the plastic bottle – save Russia!” The campaign also included the full-screen banners that can be seen on the websites of the newspapers Vedomosti and Kommersant, and billboards on Rublevsky highway. At the same time, the petition for the ban of PET for beer moved on in social networks.
18 Apr. 2016