10+1 trends of Russian beer market 2015-2017Despite of the moderately negative prognoses for 2017, the beer market can be stabilized soon. Yet the years of the negative dynamics have resulted in marketing being limited just to “optimization” and the art of balancing between price and volumes. Bigger supermarkets share means stronger trade marketing. These processes are connected to the majority of the described trends. At the same time, the federal brands inflation leads to searching for new tastes, sales channels and contact formats that expand the product range and diversify the beer market, but do not imply a substantial volume increase. Let us enumerate and further discuss the ten trends of the beer market we can see in 2015-2017 as well as the major event of 2017.
Beer market of Ukraine 2017In the first half of 2017, the Ukrainian beer market goes on decreasing slowly. Yet, the companies manage to compensate their lost volumes by raising prices and improving the sales structures. This results in the mid price market segment reduction while the sales of premium brands are rising. These processes are connected to position strengthening of companies Carlsberg Group and Oasis and the market share reduction of Obolon. Most of the novelties by the market leaders belong to craft or hard lemon categories.
Beer market of Russia 2016: PET goes to draftThe beer market of Russia was warmed up by the hot summer, but the preparation for large volume PET prohibition has already impacted it negatively. The year was successful for Efes, MBC and regional producers; Carlsberg’s positions were virtually stable but AB InBev and Heineken lost a part of market share having focused on the sales profitability. The dynamics of big brands was determined by how much the companies were willing to keep the prices down or by their promotional activity. In this context the economy segment of the beer market and sales of inexpensive draft beer were increasing. The premium segment started shrinking due to license brands migrating to the mainstream segment.
Beer market of Vietnam: “Young tiger”Vietnam is one of the few big beer markets that continue to grow steadily. The beer popularity results from its low price, street consumption culture, and social motives. The outlooks of beer market as well as the Vietnamese economy inspire optimism, though the country is heavily dependent on export of goods. The state regulation can be called liberal, but the key risk for brewers is harbored in intensive rising of excise. Within TOP-4 there are two leaders, Sabeco and Heineken that grow at the fastest rates. The first company effectively employs its capacities, the second one focuses on marketing technologies. Almost 80% of the market belongs to century-old brands, yet the middle class and the youth are shifting their interest toward international premium that is growing taking share from the mainstream.
Malaysia. Carlsberg expects a tough year in FY16
"We see subdued consumer sentiment; spending power will not come up during the year," Carlsberg managing director Henrik Juel Andersen told reporters after the company's annual general meeting today.
He said even though it is a tough year moving forward, there are still opportunities for growth. He added that the brewer will not reduce its investment in its brands.
Andersen also expressed his disappointment towards the excise duty hike on March 1, which he described as "hefty", and favours the importers of foreign beer and liquor over local beer producers.
The new tax regime saw the quantum of a tax increase on locally produced beer, stout, and cider, ranging from 10% to 99%.
"It has forced us to increase our price," he said, adding that this may encourage an illicit trading of beers.
The group posted an increase in net profit by 18.36% to RM74.48 million in its fourth quarter ended Dec 31, 2015 (4QFY15) compared to the corresponding quarter in 2014, due to effective revenue optimisation, better product and price mix, as well as prudent cost management across the group.
For its full year (FY15), Carlsberg registered a slight increase of 2.05% in net profit compared to a year ago.
At 4.13pm, shares of Carlsberg traded unchanged at RM13.78, for a market capitalisation of RM4.25 billion.
22 Apr. 2016