Global hop marketA local alternative to mass beer suggested by independent brewers has been successful and is now altering the global market. Beer is becoming more diversified, so transnational companies have to accept the new game rules and to switch focus to young and fast growing markets. All these processes increased the demand for aroma and bitter hop as well as their acreage expansion on two continents. However now there appeared a downward trend of alcohol consumption in the world, so even special sorts can soon turn to be sufficient. In this connection the dynamic American hop market is already facing some problems. EU hop producers have become more cautious, they are not racing to exceed the demand and look forward with more confidence, judging by the contract terms.
Hop Market in RussiaGermany still dominates the Russian market, yet over the recent two years one has been able observe a continuous success of Czech hop suppliers. Their expansion and growing popularity of hops from the United States became the drivers of supplies growth in 2016 despite the preceding modest harvest crop in the EU, as well as the factor of relative stability in 2017. In this connection, in 2017, the ratio of the varieties continued to shift towards the aroma ones, and the supplies of Magnum hop and other alpha varieties were reduced. However, the import of bitter hop pellets is partially replaced by extracts, especially from the major beer manufacturers. Total volumes of alpha acid supplies, according to our estimation, decreased by approximately 5% and returned to the level of 2015. Barth Haas Group continues dominating the hop products market; HVG also increased its weight. At the same time, Morris Hanbury significantly reduced the supplies in 2017.
10+1 trends of Russian beer market 2015-2017Despite of the moderately negative prognoses for 2017, the beer market can be stabilized soon. Yet the years of the negative dynamics have resulted in marketing being limited just to “optimization” and the art of balancing between price and volumes. Bigger supermarkets share means stronger trade marketing. These processes are connected to the majority of the described trends. At the same time, the federal brands inflation leads to searching for new tastes, sales channels and contact formats that expand the product range and diversify the beer market, but do not imply a substantial volume increase. Let us enumerate and further discuss the ten trends of the beer market we can see in 2015-2017 as well as the major event of 2017.
Beer market of Ukraine 2017In the first half of 2017, the Ukrainian beer market goes on decreasing slowly. Yet, the companies manage to compensate their lost volumes by raising prices and improving the sales structures. This results in the mid price market segment reduction while the sales of premium brands are rising. These processes are connected to position strengthening of companies Carlsberg Group and Oasis and the market share reduction of Obolon. Most of the novelties by the market leaders belong to craft or hard lemon categories.
Beer market of Russia 2016: PET goes to draftThe beer market of Russia was warmed up by the hot summer, but the preparation for large volume PET prohibition has already impacted it negatively. The year was successful for Efes, MBC and regional producers; Carlsberg’s positions were virtually stable but AB InBev and Heineken lost a part of market share having focused on the sales profitability. The dynamics of big brands was determined by how much the companies were willing to keep the prices down or by their promotional activity. In this context the economy segment of the beer market and sales of inexpensive draft beer were increasing. The premium segment started shrinking due to license brands migrating to the mainstream segment.
Indonesia. Alcohol ban jeopardizes industry, tourism
“A holiday without beer in Bali would be dreadful,” said Briton Peter Robertson, who was vacationing in Bali. Without access to beer, which is considered a recreational beverage in countries such as the UK, tourists like Robertson would be discouraged from visiting Indonesia.
French national Pierre David, enjoying his honeymoon in Sekotong, Lombok, West Nusa Tenggara, said a couple of glasses of beer were essential for any celebration.
As tourists let off steam by drinking with friends and family on vacation, lawmakers at the House of Representatives and the government in Jakarta are working on a bill that will make it difficult to obtain alcohol.
According to the initial draft, sponsored by Islamist-oriented parties the United Development Party (PPP) and the Prosperous Justice Party (PKS), the production, distribution and consumption of alcoholic beverages will be completely outlawed.
Exceptions will apply for customary activities, religious rituals, tourists and pharmaceutical products.
The purpose of the bill, as the draft claims, is to “protect citizens from the negative impacts of alcoholic beverages, to raise awareness of the dangers of the beverages, and to ensure order and peace in society, free from disturbances caused by consumers”.
The deliberations came after then trade minister Rachmat Gobel issued in 2015 Ministerial Regulation No. 6/2015 on the distribution of alcoholic beverages, prohibiting supermarkets and minimarts from selling drinks containing more than 5 percent alcohol.
Industry representatives say the total prohibition of alcoholic beverages will have a negative impact on business. Hotel and Restaurant Association chairman Hariyadi Sukamdani said a total ban on alcoholic beverages would be a threat to the sustainability of hotel operations as it could discourage foreign tourists from coming to Indonesia.
The move appears to contravene the government’s recent attempts to boost the number of foreign tourists to 20 million by 2020, almost twice the figure recorded in 2015.
It is aggressively promoting Indonesian destinations to countries such as Singapore, Malaysia, Japan, South Korea, China, India, Germany, Dubai and Australia. It has also scrapped visa requirements for an additional 84 countries this year, making a total of 174 free-visa countries.
Indonesian Malt Beverage Industry Group (GIMMI) spokesman Nimpuno “Ipung” Wibowo Sapto Aji said the industry was already strictly controlled with more than 30 regulations from the central government and an additional 150 by local administrations. Further restrictions would cause the industry to wither, he told The Jakarta Post.
According to data from the Centre for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), an estimated 1,800 people with direct connections to the alcohol industry will lose their jobs as a result of the total prohibition of alcoholic beverages. An additional 128,230 people in supporting industries, such as agriculture and restaurants, will face the same fate.
Annual production of the alcoholic beverage industry is valued at around Rp 5.7 trillion (US$434.28 million) and brings in Rp 6 trillion per year in excise tax. Total prohibition would wipe out all these figures.
Publicly listed beer manufacturer PT Delta Djakarta labor union secretary Jodhi Caster said workers had already suffered from last year’s Trade Ministry regulation. No layoffs have taken place, but production has been significantly cut.
9 Aug. 2016