10+1 trends of Russian beer market 2015-2017Despite of the moderately negative prognoses for 2017, the beer market can be stabilized soon. Yet the years of the negative dynamics have resulted in marketing being limited just to “optimization” and the art of balancing between price and volumes. Bigger supermarkets share means stronger trade marketing. These processes are connected to the majority of the described trends. At the same time, the federal brands inflation leads to searching for new tastes, sales channels and contact formats that expand the product range and diversify the beer market, but do not imply a substantial volume increase. Let us enumerate and further discuss the ten trends of the beer market we can see in 2015-2017 as well as the major event of 2017.
Beer market of Ukraine 2017In the first half of 2017, the Ukrainian beer market goes on decreasing slowly. Yet, the companies manage to compensate their lost volumes by raising prices and improving the sales structures. This results in the mid price market segment reduction while the sales of premium brands are rising. These processes are connected to position strengthening of companies Carlsberg Group and Oasis and the market share reduction of Obolon. Most of the novelties by the market leaders belong to craft or hard lemon categories.
Beer market of Russia 2016: PET goes to draftThe beer market of Russia was warmed up by the hot summer, but the preparation for large volume PET prohibition has already impacted it negatively. The year was successful for Efes, MBC and regional producers; Carlsberg’s positions were virtually stable but AB InBev and Heineken lost a part of market share having focused on the sales profitability. The dynamics of big brands was determined by how much the companies were willing to keep the prices down or by their promotional activity. In this context the economy segment of the beer market and sales of inexpensive draft beer were increasing. The premium segment started shrinking due to license brands migrating to the mainstream segment.
Beer market of Vietnam: “Young tiger”Vietnam is one of the few big beer markets that continue to grow steadily. The beer popularity results from its low price, street consumption culture, and social motives. The outlooks of beer market as well as the Vietnamese economy inspire optimism, though the country is heavily dependent on export of goods. The state regulation can be called liberal, but the key risk for brewers is harbored in intensive rising of excise. Within TOP-4 there are two leaders, Sabeco and Heineken that grow at the fastest rates. The first company effectively employs its capacities, the second one focuses on marketing technologies. Almost 80% of the market belongs to century-old brands, yet the middle class and the youth are shifting their interest toward international premium that is growing taking share from the mainstream.
Thai Beverage Public Company Limited Joins In The Race To Capture Vietnam’s Beer Market
According to a news report, the government of Vietnam is planning to sell its 89.59% stake in the country’s largest brewery, Saigon Beer Alcohol Beverage Corp (Sabeco). Sabeco is estimated to own about 40% of the local beer market. The deal could be worth up to US$1.8 billion and Thai Beverage has signed up as a bidder for the auction.
Beer consumption in Vietnam is growing fast, having grown 40% from 2010 to 2015. It is also expected to be the largest beer market in the region, with about 68.7 million people in the country above the drinking age.
Therefore, this means that interest for Sabeco are not lacking. Other interested bidders for the stake includes major breweries such as Asahi Group, Heineken NV, Anheuser-Busch InBev, Kirin Holdings and even Thai Beverage’s main competitor, Boon Rawd Brewery.
Thai Beverage has also indicated that it has strong enough financials to fund future acquisitions. The company has a total debt to equity of 34.4% and an interest coverage ratio of 22.4 times based on its latest result.
It is too early to know if Thai Beverage has a chance to win the bid for Sabeco. But given the strong competition in the auction, it seems the race is on to be the beer giant of Southeast Asia. Vietnam is the crown jewel of the industry in this region.
9 Sep. 2016