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3-2019

Russia: Positions of Brewing Companies

The review contains an analysis of interim performance of brewers in the first half of 2019. There are rather dynamic changes behind a modest industry growth. Baltika is again experiencing a stage of volumes and market share slid due to competition with AB InBev Efes. Because of the price competition and presence expansion in the modern trade company #2. has come close to the leading position. At the same time sales of Heineken Russia have continued growing which makes the premium part of the portfolio heavier. The market premiumization trend had been also confirmed by import brands. MBC and Zavod Trekhsosenskiy have been the most successful among federal market players. The market share of independent regional brewers and Ochakovo have continued falling as they are being squeezed out by the market leaders at their competitive fields.

Ukrainian beer market 2019: companies and brands

In 2019 beer production and market have been still fluctuating about zero point. However, the past season was successful for brewers judging by the sales profitability. The price mix has improved due to rapid general market premiumization, as well as its particular aspect, the growth of import beer sales. By the season end AB InBev Efes improved its positions considerably. It turned out that consumers had not forgot Efes brands that had to leave the market, but started to recover rapidly. Against the stagnating market that meant sales decline of other companies, in the first place Carlsberg Group that most of all beneficiated from Efes exiting the market. PPB turned out to be stable to branding activity of its competitor and Obolon kept the same volumes and at the moment it is the absolute leader of the economy segment. The share growth of independent producers took place thanks to leading craft breweries, that so far do not have a big market weight, but they are rapidly gaining it.

Brewing industry in Kazakhstan 2019

During the first half of 2019, the majority of Kazakh brewers made their contribution into positive dynamics. Yet it was companies of the lower division, not the two transnational leaders that raised their production and sales. The shares of draft beer and aluminum can which is rapidly squeezing glass bottle out of the market, have been growing. The price segmentation has remained stable despite the substantial rise of retail prices and fluctuations of brand market shares, while the borders between segments have become blurred. The main events in the industry have been: the announced revision of the beer excise policy, launch of BeerKhan brand in the strong beer segment, and most important – purchasing assets of Shymkentbeer by Arasan.

BGI Ethiopia Acquires 25 Percent of Raya Brewery’s Shares

Failing to acquire two state owned breweries, Harar Brewery and Bedele Brewery, and losing them to its archrival Heineken, BGI Ethiopia has secured a deal its managers believe will help them conquer the northern market.

BGI managers signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) on Friday, July 1, 2011, with promoters of Raya Brewery, claiming 25pc of the 650 million Br green project to establish a brewery in the northern town of Maichew, Tigray Regional State.
The deal was signed between Eyessuswork Zafu, deputy chairman of Raya Brewery, and JN Blavier, CEO of BGI Ethiopia, as well as Jobst Meyer Zu Beisen, CEO of Brewtech, a founding partner based in Hamburg, Germany, which Raya brought on board by conceding 26pc of the company in August 2010.

Both Eyessuswork and Blavier signed the document in their own offices, with Beisen using Raya's, source disclosed to Fortune.

Brewtech has agreed to pay 65 million Br for 65,000 shares, each valued at 1,000 Br, and will undertake the turnkey project for the engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) of the plant.

The plant will be the first to be installed in the northern part of the country, in Alamata Wereda, 600km north of Addis Abeba. When completed, the brewery will have an annual production capacity of 600,000 hectolitres (hl), 16.7pc of the total current production in the market, bottled by the five operational breweries, among which BGI is a major actor.

There is a gap of 3.6 million hectolitres between demand and supply, according to research by Access Capital. This puts Ethiopia's per capita beer consumption at four litres, a much lower volume than that of Kenya's 12 litres and South Africa's 59 litres, according to the same study.

"The potential of establishing a strong identity base by being the only brewery in the region and the availability of a mountain spring close by prompted our company to become involved," Beisen had told Fortune back in November 2010, after he signed the MoU with Raya.

Brewtech first came on board as a partner to install and manage the soon to be established Raya, but its continued inclusion has been one of the issues of negotiations between promoters of the brewery and BGI negotiators.

The promoters of Raya are chaired by Tsadikan G. Tensae (Lt Gen), a former chief of staff of the Ethiopian Army who was not in the country when the MoU was signed last week, while BGI's negotiators include Isayas Hadera, the company's marketing manager.

There is a bigger ambition behind BGI's acquisition of significant shares in a project that is still on the drawing board and has a long way to go before attempting to raise capital.
Raya Brewery was established by 58 founding shareholders, including Yemane (Jamaica) Kidane, former chief of staff at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MoFA); Selome Tadesse, former general manager of the Ethiopian Television and Radio Enterprise (ETRE); and Eyessuswork, general manager of United Insurance and president of the Ethiopian Chamber of Commerce and Sectoral Associations (ECCSA), in April 2010, with a registered capital of 2.5 million Br.

Named after the town where Tsadikan spent his early school years and the area where its plant is to be erected, the project has secured a 150,000sqm plot of land, lease free, from the Tigray administration.

Despite their success in securing such a vast plot with lush green land where there is proven ground water, success in mobilising equity from the public has proven elusive.

The group has only had marginal success in raising up to 80 million Br subscribed shares, of which 60 million Br is paid up, according to sources in the company.

"The coming into the picture of BGI means a lot to our drive to raise more capital from the market," a promoter told Fortune.

BGI has to accept the terms dictated by the promoters, according to those close to the negotiations.

Ethiopia's foremost brewer, with a treasure brand of St George acquired from the state back in the 1990s for 10 million dollars, had to agree not to change the colour and logo of the brand. Yet, the operational management of Raya will remain with Brewtech, as the latter has agreed to run the company for five years, sources disclosed.

It is a price BGI appears to be happy with paying in order to keep its hold in the Ethiopian beer market, perhaps threatened by the arrival of Heineken. The latter has acquired Harar and Bedele breweries from the state, beating the bid put in by BGI, after offering 2.7 billion Br.

The French owned BGI Ethiopia remains the country's largest brewer, after adding a new plant in Hawassa, 273km south of Addis Abeba, with a capacity of producing 400,000hl. This addition brings its annual beer production to 1.9 million hectolitres, commanding a little over half of Ethiopia's beer market.

Its joining hands in a green project that eyes to brew 300,000hl will not only add to its production capacity but pave the way for it to have access to the northern market which is now controlled by its brand, St George, and its competitor, Dashen, where it once owned shares, industry experts said.
Having the production capacity of over two million hectolitres will certainly give BGI Ethiopia a competitive edge over its most feared rival, Heineken, whose two breweries have a combined annual production capacity of 750,000hl.

BGI's acquiring shares in Raya is hoped to make a sixth brewery in the Ethiopian market a reality, according to a promoter.

Raya's promoters have pledged that their factory will be up and running in one and half years. Once operational, they promised hopeful shareholders (which number close to 2,000, according to one promoter) they will fully recover their initial investment within four years, with a return on investment of 25pc.

In its first year, Raya promoters project revenues of 264 million Br after tax with 11.7 million Br in profit, estimated to reach 89.1 million Br in subsequent years. The complete payback of loans they plan to take from banks will extend to eight years, according to the feasibility study of Raya's projected performance for the next 15 years.

7 Июл. 2011

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