Dmitry Nekrasov’s Philosophy — on the Past, Present and Future of Ukrainian Brewing IndustryA meeting with Dmitry Nekrasov always turns into a training course: “Introduction to brewing business“. We are talking to a clever “playing trainer“ a person that can be called a godfather of the Ukrainian craft. He has a dozen of successful projects to his name. Dmitry told us about craft beer in Ukraine, on market cycles, on specifity of operating in retail and HoReCa, on union of Ukrainian brewers and certainly, how a brewery of his own, First Dnipro Brewery is doing.
The market of import beer in Russia: review and databasesThe market of import beer is rapidly growing and changing. But while in the past years it was growing due to brands variety, in 2019 major and affordable brands from TOP-10 were developing actively. It seems that the fact of a brand origin from far abroad counties, even if it is not well known but has moderate price and good distribution provides for million liters of sales in the territory of Russia. Among distributors AB InBev Efes was far behind, yet the role of Baltika and suppliers of the second row got more important. The boom of German brands was followed by stagnation of import from other traditional regions (and Belarus) instead the supplies from Mexico, Lithuania and Asian countries grew considerably.
Russia: Positions of Brewing CompaniesThe review contains an analysis of interim performance of brewers in the first half of 2019. There are rather dynamic changes behind a modest industry growth. Baltika is again experiencing a stage of volumes and market share slid due to competition with AB InBev Efes. Because of the price competition and presence expansion in the modern trade company #2. has come close to the leading position. At the same time sales of Heineken Russia have continued growing which makes the premium part of the portfolio heavier. The market premiumization trend had been also confirmed by import brands. MBC and Zavod Trekhsosenskiy have been the most successful among federal market players. The market share of independent regional brewers and Ochakovo have continued falling as they are being squeezed out by the market leaders at their competitive fields.
Ukrainian beer market 2019: companies and brandsIn 2019 beer production and market have been still fluctuating about zero point. However, the past season was successful for brewers judging by the sales profitability. The price mix has improved due to rapid general market premiumization, as well as its particular aspect, the growth of import beer sales. By the season end AB InBev Efes improved its positions considerably. It turned out that consumers had not forgot Efes brands that had to leave the market, but started to recover rapidly. Against the stagnating market that meant sales decline of other companies, in the first place Carlsberg Group that most of all beneficiated from Efes exiting the market. PPB turned out to be stable to branding activity of its competitor and Obolon kept the same volumes and at the moment it is the absolute leader of the economy segment. The share growth of independent producers took place thanks to leading craft breweries, that so far do not have a big market weight, but they are rapidly gaining it.
Brewing industry in Kazakhstan 2019During the first half of 2019, the majority of Kazakh brewers made their contribution into positive dynamics. Yet it was companies of the lower division, not the two transnational leaders that raised their production and sales. The shares of draft beer and aluminum can which is rapidly squeezing glass bottle out of the market, have been growing. The price segmentation has remained stable despite the substantial rise of retail prices and fluctuations of brand market shares, while the borders between segments have become blurred. The main events in the industry have been: the announced revision of the beer excise policy, launch of BeerKhan brand in the strong beer segment, and most important – purchasing assets of Shymkentbeer by Arasan.
The trend of complication of Russian beer market is going on and in several directions at the same time. The range has got wider, the import and small segments are growing, namely craft beer, alcohol-free beer and special flavor beer. At the same time, all ex-mega brands and light lagers by Russian brewers are experiencing a decline of their shares. AB InBev Efes, Heineken, MBC and Pivzavod Trekhsosenskiy have exceeded the market, Carlsberg was developing slower than the market and Ochakovo as well as some other mid-sized breweries have been cutting down their volumes. To a big extent brewers’ performance was connected to their ability to reach agreement with networks, sacrifice their margin and enter new markets. Craft brewers are facing a serious danger of producers’ registration introduction – de facto licensing. ...
Brazil’s AmBev Shaping Up As Potential Leader
This column on Wednesday mentioned some of the highest-rated stocks from Latin America. Two names appeared in that search.
From Mexico, Fomento Economico Mexicano (FMX), or Fomex, is Latin America's largest nonalcoholic beverage company.
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From Brazil, Companhia de Bebidas das Americas (ABV), or AmBev, is Latin America's biggest brewery. The company also distributes Gatorade in a country that goes wild over sports.
Leader In Latin America
AmBev dominates Brazil's beer market with a 68% share. It also delivers several beer brands to 12 other Latin American markets.
Global beverage giant Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) bought a majority stake in AmBev seven years ago. AmBev now distributes Budweiser and Stella Artois in Canada, where it holds a 42% market share. AmBev also is the regional PepsiCo distributor.
Scrutiny of AmBev's chart shows a good — but not perfect — base.
AmBev is now in the eighth week of a cup-shaped base with a potential buy point at 34.78.
So what's wrong with the base? The right side is a bit steep, especially compared with the more evenly shaped left-side decline.
Accumulation and distribution are about evenly matched within the base, which has seen a large amount of volume. The base is V-shaped, which is poor form. It does reflect the market's volatility to some extent, though.
So what's right with AmBev's chart? Its base is a second-stage structure. Third- and fourth-stage bases reflect an older uptrend and are more prone to failure than first- or second-stage bases.
Its price action has been less volatile than the corrections of many other leading stocks.
AmBev posted earnings gains in the past four quarters ranging from 32% to 55%.
Estimates for the current period predict a rise of just 17%. That would be the softest such gain in five quarters.
Sales rose just 18% in the second quarter, the most recent report. That's lower than you'd want to see in a market leader.
But AmBev has accelerated its sales growth for three straight quarters. Taken together, AmBev's sales picture may be seen as a positive.
Finally, AmBev boasts the highest annual pretax margin — 39.2% — in its industry group.
Its 32.8% return on equity is second only to China New Borun (BORN), a Chinese small cap with its own set of problems.
AmBev is in IBD's alcoholic beverages industry group. It ranked 62nd out of 197 groups in Thursday's IBD, but the group has been climbing. It was 94th three weeks ago and 132nd six weeks ago.
29 Авг. 2011