Dmitry Nekrasov’s Philosophy — on the Past, Present and Future of Ukrainian Brewing IndustryA meeting with Dmitry Nekrasov always turns into a training course: “Introduction to brewing business“. We are talking to a clever “playing trainer“ a person that can be called a godfather of the Ukrainian craft. He has a dozen of successful projects to his name. Dmitry told us about craft beer in Ukraine, on market cycles, on specifity of operating in retail and HoReCa, on union of Ukrainian brewers and certainly, how a brewery of his own, First Dnipro Brewery is doing.
The market of import beer in Russia: review and databasesThe market of import beer is rapidly growing and changing. But while in the past years it was growing due to brands variety, in 2019 major and affordable brands from TOP-10 were developing actively. It seems that the fact of a brand origin from far abroad counties, even if it is not well known but has moderate price and good distribution provides for million liters of sales in the territory of Russia. Among distributors AB InBev Efes was far behind, yet the role of Baltika and suppliers of the second row got more important. The boom of German brands was followed by stagnation of import from other traditional regions (and Belarus) instead the supplies from Mexico, Lithuania and Asian countries grew considerably.
Russia: Positions of Brewing CompaniesThe review contains an analysis of interim performance of brewers in the first half of 2019. There are rather dynamic changes behind a modest industry growth. Baltika is again experiencing a stage of volumes and market share slid due to competition with AB InBev Efes. Because of the price competition and presence expansion in the modern trade company #2. has come close to the leading position. At the same time sales of Heineken Russia have continued growing which makes the premium part of the portfolio heavier. The market premiumization trend had been also confirmed by import brands. MBC and Zavod Trekhsosenskiy have been the most successful among federal market players. The market share of independent regional brewers and Ochakovo have continued falling as they are being squeezed out by the market leaders at their competitive fields.
Ukrainian beer market 2019: companies and brandsIn 2019 beer production and market have been still fluctuating about zero point. However, the past season was successful for brewers judging by the sales profitability. The price mix has improved due to rapid general market premiumization, as well as its particular aspect, the growth of import beer sales. By the season end AB InBev Efes improved its positions considerably. It turned out that consumers had not forgot Efes brands that had to leave the market, but started to recover rapidly. Against the stagnating market that meant sales decline of other companies, in the first place Carlsberg Group that most of all beneficiated from Efes exiting the market. PPB turned out to be stable to branding activity of its competitor and Obolon kept the same volumes and at the moment it is the absolute leader of the economy segment. The share growth of independent producers took place thanks to leading craft breweries, that so far do not have a big market weight, but they are rapidly gaining it.
Brewing industry in Kazakhstan 2019During the first half of 2019, the majority of Kazakh brewers made their contribution into positive dynamics. Yet it was companies of the lower division, not the two transnational leaders that raised their production and sales. The shares of draft beer and aluminum can which is rapidly squeezing glass bottle out of the market, have been growing. The price segmentation has remained stable despite the substantial rise of retail prices and fluctuations of brand market shares, while the borders between segments have become blurred. The main events in the industry have been: the announced revision of the beer excise policy, launch of BeerKhan brand in the strong beer segment, and most important – purchasing assets of Shymkentbeer by Arasan.
The trend of complication of Russian beer market is going on and in several directions at the same time. The range has got wider, the import and small segments are growing, namely craft beer, alcohol-free beer and special flavor beer. At the same time, all ex-mega brands and light lagers by Russian brewers are experiencing a decline of their shares. AB InBev Efes, Heineken, MBC and Pivzavod Trekhsosenskiy have exceeded the market, Carlsberg was developing slower than the market and Ochakovo as well as some other mid-sized breweries have been cutting down their volumes. To a big extent brewers’ performance was connected to their ability to reach agreement with networks, sacrifice their margin and enter new markets. Craft brewers are facing a serious danger of producers’ registration introduction – de facto licensing. ...
Resilient European brewing sector hit by recession but fighting back
According to the Ernst & Young and Regioplan study, beer consumption fell 8% from 2008 to 2010, cutting 260,000 jobs, of which 85% in the hospitality sector, in the sector’s value chain. Government revenues from the sector, including excise duties collection, fell a staggering 6% in one year, from 54 billion in 2008 to 50.6 billion Euros in 2009, in spite of tax increases on beer across a number of countries.
Although the overall contribution of beer to the EU economy has decreased by 10% since 2008, the contribution of the brewing sector to the economy remains very significant. According to the Brewers of Europe production and consumption of beers provides more than 2 million jobs across Europe whilst total annual sales equal around 106 billion Euros. Despite tough times, the number of breweries multiplied to over 3,600 last year, from just over 3,000 in 2008. Non-alcoholic beer sales have also increased in some countries.
“The study underlines the fact that the brewing sector has resilience, remains a global leader and has a very positive impact on the European economy,” said Alberto Da Ponte, President of The Brewers of Europe, which represents the 3,600 breweries across Europe.
In addition to the recent global downturn, the decrease in the economic contribution was driven by an increasing tax burden, higher raw material prices, new restrictions and a growing shift in consumption from the hospitality sector towards retail and home consumption, where the government revenues, value-added and employment generated by one litre of beer are significantly lower. Beer sales fell by 15% in the hospitality sector, compared to 4% in retail outlets.
As the economic crisis hit in 2008, China passed the EU as the biggest beer producer in the world, the study shows. Despite the crisis, the sector has adapted well, although relentless increases in beer excise duties will stifle any recovery and it needs supportive government policy in terms of regulation and taxation, to now help drive the growth of the wider EU economy and help prevent further job losses.
Da Ponte said, “The report shows how with the right policy from governments and policymakers, the brewing sector can play a leading role in the economic recovery that is important to us all.”
The report presents consolidated data on the 27 EU Member States. Detailed information is also provided on the EU 27 countries plus Croatia, Norway, Switzerland and Turkey.
23 Сен. 2011