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3-2019

Russia: Positions of Brewing Companies

The review contains an analysis of interim performance of brewers in the first half of 2019. There are rather dynamic changes behind a modest industry growth. Baltika is again experiencing a stage of volumes and market share slid due to competition with AB InBev Efes. Because of the price competition and presence expansion in the modern trade company #2. has come close to the leading position. At the same time sales of Heineken Russia have continued growing which makes the premium part of the portfolio heavier. The market premiumization trend had been also confirmed by import brands. MBC and Zavod Trekhsosenskiy have been the most successful among federal market players. The market share of independent regional brewers and Ochakovo have continued falling as they are being squeezed out by the market leaders at their competitive fields.

Ukrainian beer market 2019: companies and brands

In 2019 beer production and market have been still fluctuating about zero point. However, the past season was successful for brewers judging by the sales profitability. The price mix has improved due to rapid general market premiumization, as well as its particular aspect, the growth of import beer sales. By the season end AB InBev Efes improved its positions considerably. It turned out that consumers had not forgot Efes brands that had to leave the market, but started to recover rapidly. Against the stagnating market that meant sales decline of other companies, in the first place Carlsberg Group that most of all beneficiated from Efes exiting the market. PPB turned out to be stable to branding activity of its competitor and Obolon kept the same volumes and at the moment it is the absolute leader of the economy segment. The share growth of independent producers took place thanks to leading craft breweries, that so far do not have a big market weight, but they are rapidly gaining it.

Brewing industry in Kazakhstan 2019

During the first half of 2019, the majority of Kazakh brewers made their contribution into positive dynamics. Yet it was companies of the lower division, not the two transnational leaders that raised their production and sales. The shares of draft beer and aluminum can which is rapidly squeezing glass bottle out of the market, have been growing. The price segmentation has remained stable despite the substantial rise of retail prices and fluctuations of brand market shares, while the borders between segments have become blurred. The main events in the industry have been: the announced revision of the beer excise policy, launch of BeerKhan brand in the strong beer segment, and most important – purchasing assets of Shymkentbeer by Arasan.

Boston Beer Co. hit by higher price of barley

Q: Something bad has happened to my Boston Beer Co. shares, and I want to know if problems will continue.

— M.L.

A: The maker of Samuel Adams beer must contend with the higher cost of barley, a key ingredient in its brews, as well as competitive pressures.
While it is the leading producer in the highly fragmented U.S. craft brew industry, it accounts for less than 1 percent of the total U.S. beer market. Growth potential therefore is a major consideration for its stock.

But with most of its production and sales in the eastern U.S., its capital expenditures for significant expansion in the U.S. and abroad would be high. The dominant forces in the beer business remain MillerCoors and Anheuser-Busch InBev, which are introducing their own craft beers and acquiring other trendy brewers.

Shares of The Boston Beer Co. , which produces beer, flavored malt beverages and hard ciders, recently had been down 24 percent this year.

Profits rose 72 percent in the second quarter due mostly to a positive settlement with a former glass-bottle supplier. A decline in Sam Adams Light sales was partially offset by increases in its Twisted Tea, Boston Lager, Brewmaster's Collection and Seasonals products. Marketing, advertising and freight costs rose in the quarter.

Boston Beer reduced its full-year expectations and said it is "exploring opportunities for price increases" because of the higher cost of the barley crop.

Consensus analyst opinion on Boston Beer stock is "hold," according to Thomson Reuters, consisting of one "strong buy," one "buy," five "holds" and one "underperform."

Boston Beer was launched in the mid-1980s and taken public in 1995 by founder Jim Koch, who is featured in its commercials. Koch last year rolled out the Freshest Beer Program that reduces the lag between brewing and delivery to customers. The company's website notes that over the years he has resisted several offers for the company from large brewers.

Q: I would like your opinion of Legg Mason ClearBridge Appreciation Fund.

—V.M.

A: It is a classic core holding for a conservative investor's personal portfolio that offers diversified holdings and sustainable dividends. It can be expected to underperform during market rallies and outperform during downturns.

The $3.7 billion Legg Mason ClearBridge Appreciation "A" (SHAPX) recently had been down 2 percent over the previous 12 months to rank in the top 30 percent of large growth and value funds. It returned 3 percent over the previous 10 years.

"This fund is for someone who doesn't like risk or volatility," said Shannon Zimmerman, of Morningstar Inc. "It should be someone who doesn't mind not getting every percentage point of an up market, in exchange for not losing every percentage point in a down market."

The co-managers are Scott Glasser, who has been with the fund for a decade, and Michael Kagan, who joined it in 2009. Both manage other Legg Mason funds. The team keeps the portfolio diversified across sectors, favors strong company management and looks for firms whose earnings growth potential isn't reflected in stock price.

According to filings, Glasser has more than $1 million of his own money in the fund, thereby keeping interests of shareholders aligned with his own. Kagan has less than $50,000 in this fund but has more than $500,000 invested in other Legg Mason funds.

7 Окт. 2011

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