Dmitry Nekrasov’s Philosophy — on the Past, Present and Future of Ukrainian Brewing IndustryA meeting with Dmitry Nekrasov always turns into a training course: “Introduction to brewing business“. We are talking to a clever “playing trainer“ a person that can be called a godfather of the Ukrainian craft. He has a dozen of successful projects to his name. Dmitry told us about craft beer in Ukraine, on market cycles, on specifity of operating in retail and HoReCa, on union of Ukrainian brewers and certainly, how a brewery of his own, First Dnipro Brewery is doing.
The market of import beer in Russia: review and databasesThe market of import beer is rapidly growing and changing. But while in the past years it was growing due to brands variety, in 2019 major and affordable brands from TOP-10 were developing actively. It seems that the fact of a brand origin from far abroad counties, even if it is not well known but has moderate price and good distribution provides for million liters of sales in the territory of Russia. Among distributors AB InBev Efes was far behind, yet the role of Baltika and suppliers of the second row got more important. The boom of German brands was followed by stagnation of import from other traditional regions (and Belarus) instead the supplies from Mexico, Lithuania and Asian countries grew considerably.
Russia: Positions of Brewing CompaniesThe review contains an analysis of interim performance of brewers in the first half of 2019. There are rather dynamic changes behind a modest industry growth. Baltika is again experiencing a stage of volumes and market share slid due to competition with AB InBev Efes. Because of the price competition and presence expansion in the modern trade company #2. has come close to the leading position. At the same time sales of Heineken Russia have continued growing which makes the premium part of the portfolio heavier. The market premiumization trend had been also confirmed by import brands. MBC and Zavod Trekhsosenskiy have been the most successful among federal market players. The market share of independent regional brewers and Ochakovo have continued falling as they are being squeezed out by the market leaders at their competitive fields.
Ukrainian beer market 2019: companies and brandsIn 2019 beer production and market have been still fluctuating about zero point. However, the past season was successful for brewers judging by the sales profitability. The price mix has improved due to rapid general market premiumization, as well as its particular aspect, the growth of import beer sales. By the season end AB InBev Efes improved its positions considerably. It turned out that consumers had not forgot Efes brands that had to leave the market, but started to recover rapidly. Against the stagnating market that meant sales decline of other companies, in the first place Carlsberg Group that most of all beneficiated from Efes exiting the market. PPB turned out to be stable to branding activity of its competitor and Obolon kept the same volumes and at the moment it is the absolute leader of the economy segment. The share growth of independent producers took place thanks to leading craft breweries, that so far do not have a big market weight, but they are rapidly gaining it.
Brewing industry in Kazakhstan 2019During the first half of 2019, the majority of Kazakh brewers made their contribution into positive dynamics. Yet it was companies of the lower division, not the two transnational leaders that raised their production and sales. The shares of draft beer and aluminum can which is rapidly squeezing glass bottle out of the market, have been growing. The price segmentation has remained stable despite the substantial rise of retail prices and fluctuations of brand market shares, while the borders between segments have become blurred. The main events in the industry have been: the announced revision of the beer excise policy, launch of BeerKhan brand in the strong beer segment, and most important – purchasing assets of Shymkentbeer by Arasan.
The trend of complication of Russian beer market is going on and in several directions at the same time. The range has got wider, the import and small segments are growing, namely craft beer, alcohol-free beer and special flavor beer. At the same time, all ex-mega brands and light lagers by Russian brewers are experiencing a decline of their shares. AB InBev Efes, Heineken, MBC and Pivzavod Trekhsosenskiy have exceeded the market, Carlsberg was developing slower than the market and Ochakovo as well as some other mid-sized breweries have been cutting down their volumes. To a big extent brewers’ performance was connected to their ability to reach agreement with networks, sacrifice their margin and enter new markets. Craft brewers are facing a serious danger of producers’ registration introduction – de facto licensing. ...
APB Reports 34% Rise in ANP in First Quarter
•Profit before interest and taxation gained 29% to S$267.9 million
•Revenue grew 16% to S$994.3 million
Asia Pacific Breweries Ltd (APB) is pleased to announce a strong performance for the first quarter ended 31 December 2011.
Outperforming last year, attributable net profit (ANP) gained S$39 million or 34% to S$154.7 million. Profit before interest and taxation (PBIT) grew S$60.4 million or 29% to S$267.9 million. Group Revenue increased 16% to S$994.3 million.
Excluding translation differences, the impact of acquisition1 and disposal2 and gestation loss3 from Guangzhou greenfield brewery last year, organic APBE and PBIT grew 31% and 29% respectively.
Mr Roland Pirmez, Chief Executive Officer, APB commented, “Beer price increases and robust beer sales in most of our regional markets were the reasons behind the 16% top line gain. The double-digit volume growth in Vietnam drove our sales in Indochina while Indonesia and Papua New Guinea led volume growth in South & Southeast Asia and Oceania respectively. As a result, IndoChina and Thailand generated 38% of Group revenue while South & Southeast Asia and Oceania recorded 31% and 30% respectively.”
IndoChina (i.e. Vietnam, Cambodia and Laos) and Thailand retained its top spot as the Group’s largest PBIT contributor at 45%. The region reported a PBIT gain of 18%, driven by an 18% rise in volume, improved margins from price increases in Vietnam and a favourable sales mix in Cambodia.
Oceania (i.e. New Zealand, Papua New Guinea, New Caledonia and Solomon Islands) reported a PBIT increase of 48%. Continued strong consumer demand in Papua New Guinea, favourable translation gain from a 17% appreciation in the Kina as well as contributions from the newly acquired brewery in Solomon Islands attributed to the robust performance of the region. Oceania accounted for 28% of Group PBIT.
PBIT from South & Southeast Asia (i.e. Singapore, Export Markets, Malaysia, Indonesia and Sri Lanka) grew 18%, owing to double-digit volume growth in Indonesia, Export Markets and Sri Lanka as well as improved margins from price increases. The region contributed 26% to Group PBIT.
North Asia (i.e. China and Mongolia) recorded a 66% rise to S$0.3 million in PBIT with improved margins resulted from the restructuring of China operations to focus on the international premium brand strategy.
Operations Review (1st Quarter)
South & Southeast Asia (Singapore, Export Markets, Malaysia, Indonesia and Sri Lanka)
The region delivered volume growth of 9%, with gains in all operating markets except contract brew operations and Singapore domestic sales where wet weather conditions dampened sales marginally. PBIT grew 18% on the back of double digit volume growth in Indonesia, Export Markets and Sri Lanka, as well as improved margins from price increases.
Indochina (Vietnam, Cambodia and Laos) and Thailand
The region witnessed overall volume growth of 18%, led by strong double digit growth in Vietnam as well as Cambodia, offset by an 11% fall in Thailand due to the flood crisis.
PBIT grew 18%, driven by higher volume, better margins from price increases in Vietnam and favourable sales mix in Cambodia. Excluding translation losses, arising mainly from the 12% weakening in the Vietnamese dong, PBIT grew organically by 31%.
North Asia (China and Mongolia)
PBIT for the region increased 66% to S$0.3 million. The Group’s operations in China reported improved margins following the restructuring of investments to focus on a premium brand strategy. The performance for both periods was impacted by currency realignment of US dollar loans. Excluding such currency impact, PBIT would have been S$1.8 million this quarter and a loss of S$1.4 million last year’s same quarter.
Oceania (New Zealand, Papua New Guinea, New Caledonia and Solomon Islands)
PBIT for the region jumped 48%. However, volume grew by a modest 3% due to challenging market conditions in New Zealand. The robust PBIT performance was driven mainly by continued strong consumer demand in Papua New Guinea, favourable translation gain from a 17% appreciation in the Kina, as well as positive contributions from the newly acquired brewery in Solomon Islands from June 2011.
On a comparable basis, excluding the results from Solomon Islands and translation gain, PBIT grew organically by 30% whilst volume dipped 1%.
Corporate office reported PBIT of S$3.6 million for this quarter mainly due to higher royalty income, lower provision for existing employee share-based and business development expenses.
The recent economic uncertainties may dampen consumer demand. With a high proportion of the Group’s earnings from outside Singapore, the reported financial results will continue to be sensitive to currency movements in the countries where the Group operates.
As announced on 13 July 2011, the Sale of Interest in Heineken-APB (China) Pte Ltd (“Proposed Transaction”) is subject to anti-monopoly examination by the relevant PRC authorities. The Company has been informed by the Purchaser, China Resources Snow Breweries Limited, that the anti- monopoly examination has been extended. While the Company expects the PRC Anti-Monopoly Bureau to make a ruling before the end of February 2012, in line with the stipulated timelines under the Anti-Monopoly Law in PRC, there is no certainty that the Proposed Transaction will be approved by the Anti-Monopoly Bureau.
1 On 6 June 2011, the Group acquired 97.7% of the share capital of Solomon Breweries Limited in the Solomon Islands.
2 On 5 May 2011, Heineken-APB (China) Pte Ltd, a joint venture company of APB, divested its stake in Kingway Brewery Holdings Limited.
3 Gestation loss refers to the first three years’ results from Greenfield brewery in Guangzhou (Guangdong, China).
14 Фев. 2012