Dmitry Nekrasov’s Philosophy — on the Past, Present and Future of Ukrainian Brewing IndustryA meeting with Dmitry Nekrasov always turns into a training course: “Introduction to brewing business“. We are talking to a clever “playing trainer“ a person that can be called a godfather of the Ukrainian craft. He has a dozen of successful projects to his name. Dmitry told us about craft beer in Ukraine, on market cycles, on specifity of operating in retail and HoReCa, on union of Ukrainian brewers and certainly, how a brewery of his own, First Dnipro Brewery is doing.
The market of import beer in Russia: review and databasesThe market of import beer is rapidly growing and changing. But while in the past years it was growing due to brands variety, in 2019 major and affordable brands from TOP-10 were developing actively. It seems that the fact of a brand origin from far abroad counties, even if it is not well known but has moderate price and good distribution provides for million liters of sales in the territory of Russia. Among distributors AB InBev Efes was far behind, yet the role of Baltika and suppliers of the second row got more important. The boom of German brands was followed by stagnation of import from other traditional regions (and Belarus) instead the supplies from Mexico, Lithuania and Asian countries grew considerably.
Russia: Positions of Brewing CompaniesThe review contains an analysis of interim performance of brewers in the first half of 2019. There are rather dynamic changes behind a modest industry growth. Baltika is again experiencing a stage of volumes and market share slid due to competition with AB InBev Efes. Because of the price competition and presence expansion in the modern trade company #2. has come close to the leading position. At the same time sales of Heineken Russia have continued growing which makes the premium part of the portfolio heavier. The market premiumization trend had been also confirmed by import brands. MBC and Zavod Trekhsosenskiy have been the most successful among federal market players. The market share of independent regional brewers and Ochakovo have continued falling as they are being squeezed out by the market leaders at their competitive fields.
Ukrainian beer market 2019: companies and brandsIn 2019 beer production and market have been still fluctuating about zero point. However, the past season was successful for brewers judging by the sales profitability. The price mix has improved due to rapid general market premiumization, as well as its particular aspect, the growth of import beer sales. By the season end AB InBev Efes improved its positions considerably. It turned out that consumers had not forgot Efes brands that had to leave the market, but started to recover rapidly. Against the stagnating market that meant sales decline of other companies, in the first place Carlsberg Group that most of all beneficiated from Efes exiting the market. PPB turned out to be stable to branding activity of its competitor and Obolon kept the same volumes and at the moment it is the absolute leader of the economy segment. The share growth of independent producers took place thanks to leading craft breweries, that so far do not have a big market weight, but they are rapidly gaining it.
Brewing industry in Kazakhstan 2019During the first half of 2019, the majority of Kazakh brewers made their contribution into positive dynamics. Yet it was companies of the lower division, not the two transnational leaders that raised their production and sales. The shares of draft beer and aluminum can which is rapidly squeezing glass bottle out of the market, have been growing. The price segmentation has remained stable despite the substantial rise of retail prices and fluctuations of brand market shares, while the borders between segments have become blurred. The main events in the industry have been: the announced revision of the beer excise policy, launch of BeerKhan brand in the strong beer segment, and most important – purchasing assets of Shymkentbeer by Arasan.
The trend of complication of Russian beer market is going on and in several directions at the same time. The range has got wider, the import and small segments are growing, namely craft beer, alcohol-free beer and special flavor beer. At the same time, all ex-mega brands and light lagers by Russian brewers are experiencing a decline of their shares. AB InBev Efes, Heineken, MBC and Pivzavod Trekhsosenskiy have exceeded the market, Carlsberg was developing slower than the market and Ochakovo as well as some other mid-sized breweries have been cutting down their volumes. To a big extent brewers’ performance was connected to their ability to reach agreement with networks, sacrifice their margin and enter new markets. Craft brewers are facing a serious danger of producers’ registration introduction – de facto licensing. ...
Kenya. EA ripe for new investments in beer market, says report
The low levels of beer consumption in eastern Africa makes the market a prime investment destination, a newly-released industry report has said. According to the report by investment banker Imara, the average beer consumer in these markets takes less than their counterparts in western and southern Africa.
The report titled "SSA Breweries Sector Report: December 2012 Valuations now Looking a Little Frothy" covers the main brewers in Kenya (EABL), Tanzania (TBL), Rwanda (Bralirwa), Madagascar and Mauritius (Phoenix).
“At about 9.2 litres per person, beer consumption in Kenya is still some way off the global average of 35 litres per person and there is still room for growth Kenya’s emerging market credentials are driving demand for low calorie beers and the premium segment is showing strong growth,” it says.
Similarly, low consumption levels prevail in Tanzania, whose consumption is at 9.31 litres per person and Rwanda. “Per Capita Consumption (PCC) levels at 11.9 litres per person are low and on the back of continued sustained growth in growth domestic product will grow gradually,” says the report on Rwanda.
The report, however, says there is a huge room for expansion as some of the economies grow, especially fuelled by new mineral wealth, thereby expanding the middle class.
“Continued economic growth is increasing disposable incomes and consumption levels are rising from a low base,” it says.
The levels of beer consumption are in particular amongst the lowest in the region.
Consumption in South Africa is the largest on the continent at 59.5 litres per person followed by the West Africa market where the combined average rate of consumption for Ghana, Nigeria and the Ivory Coast is 10.61 litres per person.
Analysts say factors such as religion, drinking times and how much disposable income the average East African has can explain the lower consumption when compared with Africans from other regions.
“A lot of this has to do with the population mix and the spending power,” said Eric Musau, a research analyst at Standard Investment Bank.
At 45 million, Tanzania has a bigger population than Kenya’s 40 million but a larger Muslim population which can partly contribute to lower alcohol consumption.
‘‘The stringent laws on the distribution and the sale of alcoholic beverages in markets such as Kenya are amongst factors that check amounts of beer consumed locally,’’ added Mr Musau. The report, however, says the oil will be the game changer for higher beer consumption.
The region’s recent discoveries of oil in Uganda, Madagascar, natural gas in Tanzania and bright prospects of oil in Kenya and Rwanda will expand the consumer base and the average East Africans consumption.
Uganda and Tanzania have vast amounts of oil and gas while Kenya’s prospects are seen as very bright following striking of oil in two sites. The region is yet to be fully explored.
“This new dynamic adds on to the real growth being experienced by East Africa’s economies,” says the report.
All the economies have grown steadily despite setbacks in Kenya over the last 10 years.
14 Дек. 2012