Dmitry Nekrasov’s Philosophy — on the Past, Present and Future of Ukrainian Brewing IndustryA meeting with Dmitry Nekrasov always turns into a training course: “Introduction to brewing business“. We are talking to a clever “playing trainer“ a person that can be called a godfather of the Ukrainian craft. He has a dozen of successful projects to his name. Dmitry told us about craft beer in Ukraine, on market cycles, on specifity of operating in retail and HoReCa, on union of Ukrainian brewers and certainly, how a brewery of his own, First Dnipro Brewery is doing.
The market of import beer in Russia: review and databasesThe market of import beer is rapidly growing and changing. But while in the past years it was growing due to brands variety, in 2019 major and affordable brands from TOP-10 were developing actively. It seems that the fact of a brand origin from far abroad counties, even if it is not well known but has moderate price and good distribution provides for million liters of sales in the territory of Russia. Among distributors AB InBev Efes was far behind, yet the role of Baltika and suppliers of the second row got more important. The boom of German brands was followed by stagnation of import from other traditional regions (and Belarus) instead the supplies from Mexico, Lithuania and Asian countries grew considerably.
Russia: Positions of Brewing CompaniesThe review contains an analysis of interim performance of brewers in the first half of 2019. There are rather dynamic changes behind a modest industry growth. Baltika is again experiencing a stage of volumes and market share slid due to competition with AB InBev Efes. Because of the price competition and presence expansion in the modern trade company #2. has come close to the leading position. At the same time sales of Heineken Russia have continued growing which makes the premium part of the portfolio heavier. The market premiumization trend had been also confirmed by import brands. MBC and Zavod Trekhsosenskiy have been the most successful among federal market players. The market share of independent regional brewers and Ochakovo have continued falling as they are being squeezed out by the market leaders at their competitive fields.
Ukrainian beer market 2019: companies and brandsIn 2019 beer production and market have been still fluctuating about zero point. However, the past season was successful for brewers judging by the sales profitability. The price mix has improved due to rapid general market premiumization, as well as its particular aspect, the growth of import beer sales. By the season end AB InBev Efes improved its positions considerably. It turned out that consumers had not forgot Efes brands that had to leave the market, but started to recover rapidly. Against the stagnating market that meant sales decline of other companies, in the first place Carlsberg Group that most of all beneficiated from Efes exiting the market. PPB turned out to be stable to branding activity of its competitor and Obolon kept the same volumes and at the moment it is the absolute leader of the economy segment. The share growth of independent producers took place thanks to leading craft breweries, that so far do not have a big market weight, but they are rapidly gaining it.
Brewing industry in Kazakhstan 2019During the first half of 2019, the majority of Kazakh brewers made their contribution into positive dynamics. Yet it was companies of the lower division, not the two transnational leaders that raised their production and sales. The shares of draft beer and aluminum can which is rapidly squeezing glass bottle out of the market, have been growing. The price segmentation has remained stable despite the substantial rise of retail prices and fluctuations of brand market shares, while the borders between segments have become blurred. The main events in the industry have been: the announced revision of the beer excise policy, launch of BeerKhan brand in the strong beer segment, and most important – purchasing assets of Shymkentbeer by Arasan.
The trend of complication of Russian beer market is going on and in several directions at the same time. The range has got wider, the import and small segments are growing, namely craft beer, alcohol-free beer and special flavor beer. At the same time, all ex-mega brands and light lagers by Russian brewers are experiencing a decline of their shares. AB InBev Efes, Heineken, MBC and Pivzavod Trekhsosenskiy have exceeded the market, Carlsberg was developing slower than the market and Ochakovo as well as some other mid-sized breweries have been cutting down their volumes. To a big extent brewers’ performance was connected to their ability to reach agreement with networks, sacrifice their margin and enter new markets. Craft brewers are facing a serious danger of producers’ registration introduction – de facto licensing. ...
Chinese beer slowdown but silver lining emerging
However, while this is a huge concern to Australia’s malt barley industry, leaders from within the malt industry have said the change in drinking habits in China towards a preference for imported premium beer and lower malt production from Europe may soften the blow.
Speaking at the Barley Australia forum in Adelaide last month, Paul Rigoni, Barrett Burston Malting, said the slowdown in the Chinese economy was lowering consumption among poorer consumers while the more affluent were switching towards imported beer.
Trevor Perryman, Malteurop, said the Chinese malting sector also had an image problem among its neighbours.
“Throughout Asia, consumers are often a little suspicious of food products of Chinese origin and this applies to malt.
It all boils down to a slowdown in the Chinese malting industry, but Mr Perryman said it was not necessarily bad news for Australia’s barley sector, saying Australian-produced malt would be in demand.
“Australian malt still has that premium image so it may be that we have the odd situation of us being a niche player on a macro scale.”
“We’ve got good authenticity and good accreditation process and that will go a long way.”
The scale of the production numbers in China are staggering, there is still more unused capacity for malting that can be turned on than the entire malting capacity in Australia.
However, Mr Perryman said it would not necessarily translate into competition for malt exports.
“A lot of the capacity is inland and it can’t be exported economically.”
Mr Rigoni said Australia also had good opportunities in emerging beer drinking markets such as Vietnam and Myanmar where beer consumption is rising quickly.
He also highlighted India as a market to watch.
“The country will be a complex market, but it is big and will get bigger.”
Domestically, Australian farmers are benefiting from the rise of the high value craft beer industry.
“In Australia, nine per cent of the total dollar value of the beer industry is from craft brewers and we have seen over 100 new breweries come on line over the last couple of years.”
“The craft beer industry is now worth $400 million out of a total beer market of $4.3 billion.”
Mr Rigoni predicted potential further growth, saying in the US, a similar market to Australia, the craft sector was worth 19.3pc of the total beer market.
He said craft beer was good for maltsters and barley producers as it had high inclusion rates of barley.
And it will not just be the Australian craft beer boom that benefits Aussie barley producers.
“We are starting to see craft beer made in Japan and Korea and they may look to use Australian barley in their product.”
6 Окт. 2016