Global hop marketA local alternative to mass beer suggested by independent brewers has been successful and is now altering the global market. Beer is becoming more diversified, so transnational companies have to accept the new game rules and to switch focus to young and fast growing markets. All these processes increased the demand for aroma and bitter hop as well as their acreage expansion on two continents. However now there appeared a downward trend of alcohol consumption in the world, so even special sorts can soon turn to be sufficient. In this connection the dynamic American hop market is already facing some problems. EU hop producers have become more cautious, they are not racing to exceed the demand and look forward with more confidence, judging by the contract terms.
Hop Market in RussiaGermany still dominates the Russian market, yet over the recent two years one has been able observe a continuous success of Czech hop suppliers. Their expansion and growing popularity of hops from the United States became the drivers of supplies growth in 2016 despite the preceding modest harvest crop in the EU, as well as the factor of relative stability in 2017. In this connection, in 2017, the ratio of the varieties continued to shift towards the aroma ones, and the supplies of Magnum hop and other alpha varieties were reduced. However, the import of bitter hop pellets is partially replaced by extracts, especially from the major beer manufacturers. Total volumes of alpha acid supplies, according to our estimation, decreased by approximately 5% and returned to the level of 2015. Barth Haas Group continues dominating the hop products market; HVG also increased its weight. At the same time, Morris Hanbury significantly reduced the supplies in 2017.
10+1 trends of Russian beer market 2015-2017Despite of the moderately negative prognoses for 2017, the beer market can be stabilized soon. Yet the years of the negative dynamics have resulted in marketing being limited just to “optimization” and the art of balancing between price and volumes. Bigger supermarkets share means stronger trade marketing. These processes are connected to the majority of the described trends. At the same time, the federal brands inflation leads to searching for new tastes, sales channels and contact formats that expand the product range and diversify the beer market, but do not imply a substantial volume increase. Let us enumerate and further discuss the ten trends of the beer market we can see in 2015-2017 as well as the major event of 2017.
Beer market of Ukraine 2017In the first half of 2017, the Ukrainian beer market goes on decreasing slowly. Yet, the companies manage to compensate their lost volumes by raising prices and improving the sales structures. This results in the mid price market segment reduction while the sales of premium brands are rising. These processes are connected to position strengthening of companies Carlsberg Group and Oasis and the market share reduction of Obolon. Most of the novelties by the market leaders belong to craft or hard lemon categories.
Beer market of Russia 2016: PET goes to draftThe beer market of Russia was warmed up by the hot summer, but the preparation for large volume PET prohibition has already impacted it negatively. The year was successful for Efes, MBC and regional producers; Carlsberg’s positions were virtually stable but AB InBev and Heineken lost a part of market share having focused on the sales profitability. The dynamics of big brands was determined by how much the companies were willing to keep the prices down or by their promotional activity. In this context the economy segment of the beer market and sales of inexpensive draft beer were increasing. The premium segment started shrinking due to license brands migrating to the mainstream segment.
Kirin Tries Sober Pitch
Many suds lovers recoil at the idea, saying low-alcohol "near beer" tastes nothing like the real deal. But Kirin Holdings Co. has seen stronger-than-forecast sales of its Kirin Free no-alcohol malt beverage in Japan despite a broader drop in beer sales, in part reflecting the nation's rapidly aging population.
"Old people who take a lot of drugs still like the taste of beer," says Namiko Kajiwara, a 29-year-old employee in Kirin's marketing department who the company says thought up the idea for Kirin Free. "It's been very popular with housewives, too, and pregnant women."
Kirin is bringing Kirin Free to about 1,000 locations, including Japanese restaurants and stores, in health-conscious California this spring. "It's too early to bring this product to China, as the beer market there is still developing," said Ms. Kajiwara. "The beer market in America is mature, and low-alcohol beer already exists."
Kirin touts Kirin Free as the first completely alcohol-free beer-like malt beverage—0.00% alcohol, to be exact. Several products labeled nonalcoholic—such as O'Doul's, brewed by beer giant Anheuser-Busch InBev NV, and Sharp's, made by MillerCoors LLC—contain a small amount of alcohol. In the U.S., drinks labeled "nonalcoholic" can include up to 0.5% alcohol by volume, according to the U.S. Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives.
Unit sales of low-alcohol beer accounted for just 0.4% of the U.S. beer market in 2010, down from 0.5% a year earlier, according to the Beverage Information Group, a market-research firm in Norwalk, Conn. Sales of such brews fell 4% last year to 12.7 million cases. The last time near beer had a big market share in the U.S. was during Prohibition in the 1920s and 1930s.
The graying of Japan has given rise to novel products—from non-alcohol beer to colorful shoes—that have not necessarily been marketed at the senior citizen demographic, but embraced by them nonetheless.
When it launched Kirin Free in 2009, the Japanese brewer forecast first-year sales of 630,000 cases. Instead, it sold four million cases. Kirin expects sales this year to total 5.9 million cases, a 48% increase.
By contrast, real beer sales in Japan have slumped for six straight years, with the size of the market about 20% below its peak in 1994. To diversify out of its sluggish home market, Kirin has ramped up its acquisitions and partnerships overseas, particularly in Asia, after a planned merger with rival Suntory Holdings Ltd. collapsed last year.
Ms. Kajiwara says it took nearly 200 trials to perfect the recipe. In a normal beer-brewing process, malted barley, hops, water and yeast are used to make the alcoholic beverage. But for 0.00%-alcohol beer, fermentation isn't allowed, and Kirin faced the technical challenge of adding a beer-like taste without using the crucial ingredients needed for beer.
"It doesn't taste exactly like beer," says Ms. Kajiwara. "But when people drink it, they are satisfied as if they had had a bottle of beer."
Not all consumers are wild about the product. "I couldn't stand it. Its taste reminded me of the sound of an electric organ with fake pipes in some of those Japanese wedding chapels," said Toshihiko Amano, a 36-year-old a musician in Tokyo.
Others were slightly more forgiving. "When I have to drive, I drink two or three cans [of non-alcoholic beer] after playing golf," said Yusuke Sato, a 31-year-old store manager of a beer restaurant in downtown Tokyo. "These products taste like something is missing because of the absence of the process of fermentation, but I think they are decent beer substitutes."
8 Mar. 2011