Global hop marketA local alternative to mass beer suggested by independent brewers has been successful and is now altering the global market. Beer is becoming more diversified, so transnational companies have to accept the new game rules and to switch focus to young and fast growing markets. All these processes increased the demand for aroma and bitter hop as well as their acreage expansion on two continents. However now there appeared a downward trend of alcohol consumption in the world, so even special sorts can soon turn to be sufficient. In this connection the dynamic American hop market is already facing some problems. EU hop producers have become more cautious, they are not racing to exceed the demand and look forward with more confidence, judging by the contract terms.
Hop Market in RussiaGermany still dominates the Russian market, yet over the recent two years one has been able observe a continuous success of Czech hop suppliers. Their expansion and growing popularity of hops from the United States became the drivers of supplies growth in 2016 despite the preceding modest harvest crop in the EU, as well as the factor of relative stability in 2017. In this connection, in 2017, the ratio of the varieties continued to shift towards the aroma ones, and the supplies of Magnum hop and other alpha varieties were reduced. However, the import of bitter hop pellets is partially replaced by extracts, especially from the major beer manufacturers. Total volumes of alpha acid supplies, according to our estimation, decreased by approximately 5% and returned to the level of 2015. Barth Haas Group continues dominating the hop products market; HVG also increased its weight. At the same time, Morris Hanbury significantly reduced the supplies in 2017.
10+1 trends of Russian beer market 2015-2017Despite of the moderately negative prognoses for 2017, the beer market can be stabilized soon. Yet the years of the negative dynamics have resulted in marketing being limited just to “optimization” and the art of balancing between price and volumes. Bigger supermarkets share means stronger trade marketing. These processes are connected to the majority of the described trends. At the same time, the federal brands inflation leads to searching for new tastes, sales channels and contact formats that expand the product range and diversify the beer market, but do not imply a substantial volume increase. Let us enumerate and further discuss the ten trends of the beer market we can see in 2015-2017 as well as the major event of 2017.
Beer market of Ukraine 2017In the first half of 2017, the Ukrainian beer market goes on decreasing slowly. Yet, the companies manage to compensate their lost volumes by raising prices and improving the sales structures. This results in the mid price market segment reduction while the sales of premium brands are rising. These processes are connected to position strengthening of companies Carlsberg Group and Oasis and the market share reduction of Obolon. Most of the novelties by the market leaders belong to craft or hard lemon categories.
Beer market of Russia 2016: PET goes to draftThe beer market of Russia was warmed up by the hot summer, but the preparation for large volume PET prohibition has already impacted it negatively. The year was successful for Efes, MBC and regional producers; Carlsberg’s positions were virtually stable but AB InBev and Heineken lost a part of market share having focused on the sales profitability. The dynamics of big brands was determined by how much the companies were willing to keep the prices down or by their promotional activity. In this context the economy segment of the beer market and sales of inexpensive draft beer were increasing. The premium segment started shrinking due to license brands migrating to the mainstream segment.
$62.5 million Commonwealth Brewery IPO details revealed
The offering term sheet for the much anticipated IPO - the largest equity offering ever to Bahamians - was made public in a press
conference held at the brewery yesterday, allowing a glimpse into recent profitably levels, key ratios and offer terms of the deal. The local manufacturer of Heineken, Kalik and Guinness made the practice of paying out full net income as dividends a policy, effective January 1, 2011.
“This should result in Commonwealth Brewery providing a compelling dividend yield in the years to come and, if the new dividend policy was applied retroactively to 2010, the effective dividend yield for 2010 would have approximated 7.7 percent, significantly higher than any other dividend yield on BISX today,” said Michael Anderson, president of Royal Fidelity Merchant Bank and Trust Limited. Royal Fidelity is the financial advisor and placement agent for the IPO.
The 100 percent net earning payout would be subject to future capital and liquidity requirements, according to the company’s offering term sheet. LeRoy Archer, president and managing director of the CBL?group, said that paying out net earnings as dividends has been a practice observed for two decades.
“For the last 20 years, here at Commonwealth Brewery in The Bahamas our policy has always been 100 percent of net profit plus depreciation less any capital, and that’s what we pay, based on available cash flow. In order to be transparent to all our new shareholders we set the policy at 100 percent of net profits,” Archer said.
Another special feature of the IPO?is that the government or its agents have undertaken to purchase any shares not taken up in the public offer. Guardian Business was not able to secure separate confirmation from the government that it still planned to effectively underwrite the issue, but Anderson confirmed that this was still the case.
Selected historical audited financial information revealed that although the company’s revenue was on a downward slide between 2008 and 2010, slipping by around 2 percent each year, net income grew 69 percent from 2008 to 2010. Archer credits his management team with taking the necessary cost-cutting measures, renegotiating contracts and controlling inventory levels to allow profitability in a market encumbered by a depressed economy during those years.
Future growth for the company will likely come from the local market, according to Archer, who anticipates that growth prospects in the economy will result in a return to higher revenue numbers. Kalik is currently exported to the United States, but profitability would determine how to develop export opportunities.
“What we want to see is the growth here actually coming from our local market initially,” Archer said. “I always say export is not a one time thing but it’s actually a continual flow. So if it’s profitable we will pursue it. If it’s not we won’t, but we keep an open mind.”
According to the term sheet, revenue was $113.8 million, $111.8 million and $109.4 million, while net income was $11.4 million, $13.8 million and $19.2 million for 2008, 2009 and 2010, respectively. At the end of 2010 the company had total assets of $77 million with total debt of $11 million and total capital of $66 million. Total assets and debt had decreased from 2008 closings of $83.2 million and $22.3 million respectively. The 2010 net income margin was 18 percent, and the return on equity and return on assets ratios were 29 percent and 25 percent respectively.
The actual amount of the offering is for up to 7.5 million ordinary shares for $62,475,000, with shares offered at $8.33 each. The minimum subscription is 100 shares and the offer period is March 21 to April 15, 2011. Offering documents will be distributed through Royal Fidelity, Fidelity Bank, RBC and FINCO. They are also available online at royalfidelity.com. According to Archer, brochures will also be available in all of the group’s retail liquor store, and special events will be hosted to attract broad Bahamian participation from all strata of society.
The IPO represents a 25 percent ownership stake in Commonwealth Brewery, which owns 100 percent of retail beverage distributor Burns House Limited and the TodHunter Mitchell brand. In addition to brands already mentioned, it also produces VitaMalt and Eclipse for the local market. Heineken International BV currently owns 100 percent of CBL, and will retain a 75 percent interest after the IPO.
Heineken has public listings with partners in Poland, Nigeria, St. Lucia and recently in Rwanda, according to George Toulantas, senior investor relations manager at Heineken in Amsterdam, The Netherlands. He said that local ownership is encouraged by the company as an opportunity to give back to communities and to encourage stronger ties between consumers and the various brands Heineken takes part ownership of.
11 Mar. 2011