10+1 trends of Russian beer market 2015-2017Despite of the moderately negative prognoses for 2017, the beer market can be stabilized soon. Yet the years of the negative dynamics have resulted in marketing being limited just to “optimization” and the art of balancing between price and volumes. Bigger supermarkets share means stronger trade marketing. These processes are connected to the majority of the described trends. At the same time, the federal brands inflation leads to searching for new tastes, sales channels and contact formats that expand the product range and diversify the beer market, but do not imply a substantial volume increase. Let us enumerate and further discuss the ten trends of the beer market we can see in 2015-2017 as well as the major event of 2017.
Beer market of Ukraine 2017In the first half of 2017, the Ukrainian beer market goes on decreasing slowly. Yet, the companies manage to compensate their lost volumes by raising prices and improving the sales structures. This results in the mid price market segment reduction while the sales of premium brands are rising. These processes are connected to position strengthening of companies Carlsberg Group and Oasis and the market share reduction of Obolon. Most of the novelties by the market leaders belong to craft or hard lemon categories.
Beer market of Russia 2016: PET goes to draftThe beer market of Russia was warmed up by the hot summer, but the preparation for large volume PET prohibition has already impacted it negatively. The year was successful for Efes, MBC and regional producers; Carlsberg’s positions were virtually stable but AB InBev and Heineken lost a part of market share having focused on the sales profitability. The dynamics of big brands was determined by how much the companies were willing to keep the prices down or by their promotional activity. In this context the economy segment of the beer market and sales of inexpensive draft beer were increasing. The premium segment started shrinking due to license brands migrating to the mainstream segment.
Beer market of Vietnam: “Young tiger”Vietnam is one of the few big beer markets that continue to grow steadily. The beer popularity results from its low price, street consumption culture, and social motives. The outlooks of beer market as well as the Vietnamese economy inspire optimism, though the country is heavily dependent on export of goods. The state regulation can be called liberal, but the key risk for brewers is harbored in intensive rising of excise. Within TOP-4 there are two leaders, Sabeco and Heineken that grow at the fastest rates. The first company effectively employs its capacities, the second one focuses on marketing technologies. Almost 80% of the market belongs to century-old brands, yet the middle class and the youth are shifting their interest toward international premium that is growing taking share from the mainstream.
Recession hangover as Romanian beer market shows no signs of frothing
Summer is a busy time for brewers, when sales usually go up by about 25 percent compared to the average of the rest of the year, Constantin Bratu, general director of the Brewers of Romania Association, told Business Review, adding that it is too early to make estimations for this year’s hot season.“One thing is for sure, this summer’s results will depend on two factors – purchasing power and the weather,” Bratu said.
A pick-up would be more than welcome given how sales have decreased in the past couple of years. The Romanian beer market shrank by 3.5 percent last year, falling to a volume of 17 million hectoliters, according to the Brewers of Romania Association. Over the past two years it has declined by 16 percent against 2008, the year when the volume of beer sales reached a peak of 20.2 million hectoliters.
About 99 percent of the beer consumed in Romania comes from local production, according to the Brewers of Romania Association. The five members of the association – Bergenbier, Heineken Romania, Romaqua Group, United Romanian Breweries Bereprod (URBB) and Ursus Breweries – invested EUR 51 million in 2010, while their contribution to the state budget through various taxes amounted to EUR 270 million, up by EUR 7 million compared with 2009, according to data from the association. 2010 also saw the closure of several factories due to harsher market conditions. Ursus, Heineken and Bergenbier each shut down one production unit last year.
Beer consumption per capita fell to 78 liters in 2010, continuing the decline that started in 2009, further evidence that the economic climate has affected consumers and their consumption habits, according to the association. In terms of packaging, drinkers’ preferences remained constant in 2010 – PET (49.3 percent), glass bottle (31.7 percent), can (16 percent) and draught (3 percent).
Shrinking personal budgets have meant that Romanian consumers have both drunk and also spent less, switching to cheaper brands. Reducing the time spent out has also impacted sales volumes. “Ask any bartender and he will tell you that two years ago the average Joe used to order three beers, and now he’s eking out a single beer for an entire day. This is pretty much what has happened – a drastic decline in consumption,” Tiberiu Mercurian, marketing director of Bergenbier SA, told Business Review.
So far, 2011 hasn’t significantly changed the trends, with the market declining by another 2 percent in the first quarter against the same period of last year, according to Bratu. “Our estimation for 2011 is from flat to a small, single-digit decrease. Consumer confidence is improving; however, the conservative shopping habits that consumers have learned during the last two years are still there and we have yet to see a return to previous behavior. On premise sales are particularly affected as people now go out less frequently to bars and restaurants,” said Grant McKenzie, marketing vice-president at Ursus Breweries.
The prospects of higher sales means that summer is that time of the year when brewers throw big money at promoting their brands. From launching new products to sponsoring music festivals and sports teams, brewers aggressively promote their products in order to boost sales.
“The summer contributes a higher percentage of annual sales volume: three hot summer months can count for about 40 percent of a brand’s sales,” Doron Zilberstein, marketing VP at URBB, told Business Review.
He added that the company’s business strategy during this period has focused on investments in marketing and increasing market presence for a better adaptation to consumer behavior.
In 2010 URBB also entered a new market segment, mineral water, by launching the Bilbor brand. “This year we will continue investments in the Bilbor plant and the exploitation of new sources in the area, investments in the distribution system and other operational investments to improve the bottling lines for beer and juice, as well as in the IT system,” added Zilberstein. The company’s campaign for the beer segment focused on the Skol, Carlsberg and Tuborg brands.
“Our latest research, conducted in June, shows that the three criteria that influence consumers' purchasing decisions when buying beer are, in order: brand preference, choosing one of the available brands but cold, and preference for a particular type of packaging,” he added. Regarding the packaging choice, no changes have occurred from previous years, the order of popularity being PET, followed by glass bottle, can and draught.
This year URBB hopes to see an increase both in volume and sales compared to 2010. “In the first half of this year our company recorded positive results. These are however interim results – sales in the summer months will influence our turnover expectations this year,” the VP concluded.
“In the first half, the market continued to decline, but at a much slower pace than last year. We expect that 2011 will end with a slight decrease from last year, the main reason being the low incomes,” said Mercurian.
Last year the company chose to invest more in its Bergenbier brand and resumed communication for the Beck's and Noroc beers. “We started the year with a brand re-launch for Noroc, we continued with the Man’s Day campaign and summer brought the launch of three new products: Bergenbier Nefiltrata din Grau, Bergenbier Fresh and Staropramen,” added Mercurian. Without disclosing the actual promotion budget for 2011, Mercurian said Bergenbier had “considerably” increased this year’s budget.
At Ursus Breweries the marketing budget for this year is similar to figure for last year, said McKenzie. “In fact it has remained stable through the ‘crisis years’. The costs of marketing have reduced over this period so we now get more for our money,” he added. This summer the company focused on campaigns for the Ursus, Timisoreana, Redd’s, Peroni and Grolsch brands. “Beer market sales in July and August can be close to double the sales in January and February,” he added.
2 Aug. 2011