10+1 trends of Russian beer market 2015-2017Despite of the moderately negative prognoses for 2017, the beer market can be stabilized soon. Yet the years of the negative dynamics have resulted in marketing being limited just to “optimization” and the art of balancing between price and volumes. Bigger supermarkets share means stronger trade marketing. These processes are connected to the majority of the described trends. At the same time, the federal brands inflation leads to searching for new tastes, sales channels and contact formats that expand the product range and diversify the beer market, but do not imply a substantial volume increase. Let us enumerate and further discuss the ten trends of the beer market we can see in 2015-2017 as well as the major event of 2017.
Beer market of Ukraine 2017In the first half of 2017, the Ukrainian beer market goes on decreasing slowly. Yet, the companies manage to compensate their lost volumes by raising prices and improving the sales structures. This results in the mid price market segment reduction while the sales of premium brands are rising. These processes are connected to position strengthening of companies Carlsberg Group and Oasis and the market share reduction of Obolon. Most of the novelties by the market leaders belong to craft or hard lemon categories.
Beer market of Russia 2016: PET goes to draftThe beer market of Russia was warmed up by the hot summer, but the preparation for large volume PET prohibition has already impacted it negatively. The year was successful for Efes, MBC and regional producers; Carlsberg’s positions were virtually stable but AB InBev and Heineken lost a part of market share having focused on the sales profitability. The dynamics of big brands was determined by how much the companies were willing to keep the prices down or by their promotional activity. In this context the economy segment of the beer market and sales of inexpensive draft beer were increasing. The premium segment started shrinking due to license brands migrating to the mainstream segment.
Beer market of Vietnam: “Young tiger”Vietnam is one of the few big beer markets that continue to grow steadily. The beer popularity results from its low price, street consumption culture, and social motives. The outlooks of beer market as well as the Vietnamese economy inspire optimism, though the country is heavily dependent on export of goods. The state regulation can be called liberal, but the key risk for brewers is harbored in intensive rising of excise. Within TOP-4 there are two leaders, Sabeco and Heineken that grow at the fastest rates. The first company effectively employs its capacities, the second one focuses on marketing technologies. Almost 80% of the market belongs to century-old brands, yet the middle class and the youth are shifting their interest toward international premium that is growing taking share from the mainstream.
US. St. Louis Brewery outsourcing Schlafly to Iowa brewer
The new arrangements will bring the brewery's total out-of-state brewing contracts to three; production of Schlafly Summer Lager cans moved to Stevens Point, Wis., in 2010. By this time next year, as much as 20 percent of St. Louis Brewery's beers could be made outside of Missouri.
"We're already brewing at close to our maximum here," said brewery co-founder Dan Kopman, referring to brewpubs Schlafly Bottleworks in Maplewood and the Tap Room downtown. The out-of-state brewing arrangements are not necessarily a long-term solution so much as "a way to give us some wiggle room to figure out how much more beer we need to make in St. Louis going forward."
Small and regional breweries have increasingly turned to contract-brewing in recent years as sales of craft beer continue to climb and the shrunken credit market has made it harder to get loans to build new brewing spaces.
"There are - and will continue to be - many contract relationships and conditions as our bursting-at-the-seams industry continues its growth pattern," said Jenn Litz, editor of the online trade publication Craft Business Daily. "There is just not enough money, capacity and time to do things another way in the interim."
Contract-brewing is not new territory for St. Louis Brewery, which had a Minnesota brewery produce its bottled beers for years until Schlafly Bottleworks opened here in 2003.
Yet Kopman says the deals his company has recently brokered with Blackstone Brewery in Nashville, Tenn., and Backpocket Brewing in Coralville, Iowa, are unique in the beer industry. Although St. Louis Brewery has no ownership stake in Blackstone or Backpocket, the locations will operate like "Schlafly satellite breweries," Kopman said.
Blackstone and Backpocket are both being run by former St. Louis Brewery employees - Dave Miller of Blackstone was the Tap Room's original head brewer, and Jacob Simmons of Backpocket worked in the quality-control lab at Bottleworks. Both facilities are similar to Bottleworks in terms of size, brewing equipment and bottling lines.
"These partnerships go much deeper than, 'Here's our recipe. Make our beer,'" Kopman said. "We have been involved in everything from site selection to water analysis. And we've been able to do those things on our terms, with our people and our expertise."
The first Tennessee-brewed Schlafly beers will roll out this year; Iowa production is expected to begin in late 2012. The out-of-state breweries will likely each brew about 5,000 barrels a year of Schlafly beer.
The beer packaging will disclose where it was produced, just as the brewery has done with its Wisconsin-brewed Summer Lager. Kopman said Schlafly beers made in Tennessee and Iowa will be distributed mostly in those areas and will not be sold in St. Louis.
"We still want to be able to make all of the beer that we sell in St. Louis in St. Louis," he said. "I'll always be wedded to the idea of running a sustainable, local business, not to being the biggest beer company we can possibly be."
The brewery, founded in 1991, is on pace to make about 42,000 barrels of beer this year - equivalent to about 14 million 12-ounce bottles - up from 36,000 barrels last year and 30,000 barrels in 2009. Bottleworks and the Tap Room have run out of room to expand production, and Kopman said he'd like to watch how the beer landscape changes in the next few years before taking out a loan for a new facility here.
In the meantime, Kopman and St. Louis Brewery co-founder Tom Schlafly are still moving forward, albeit slowly, with a succession plan to hand off ownership of the company to local investors.
Kopman and Schlafly announced last summer that they had starting looking for a buyer, and a dozen potential candidates have signed confidentiality agreements to peruse the company's financial records. A few of those investors have since lost interest, and no new ones have come forward, Kopman said.
"We're not in any rush," he said, adding that one step of the succession - an employee share-purchase plan - will go into effect by April.
22 Aug. 2011