10+1 trends of Russian beer market 2015-2017Despite of the moderately negative prognoses for 2017, the beer market can be stabilized soon. Yet the years of the negative dynamics have resulted in marketing being limited just to “optimization” and the art of balancing between price and volumes. Bigger supermarkets share means stronger trade marketing. These processes are connected to the majority of the described trends. At the same time, the federal brands inflation leads to searching for new tastes, sales channels and contact formats that expand the product range and diversify the beer market, but do not imply a substantial volume increase. Let us enumerate and further discuss the ten trends of the beer market we can see in 2015-2017 as well as the major event of 2017.
Beer market of Ukraine 2017In the first half of 2017, the Ukrainian beer market goes on decreasing slowly. Yet, the companies manage to compensate their lost volumes by raising prices and improving the sales structures. This results in the mid price market segment reduction while the sales of premium brands are rising. These processes are connected to position strengthening of companies Carlsberg Group and Oasis and the market share reduction of Obolon. Most of the novelties by the market leaders belong to craft or hard lemon categories.
Beer market of Russia 2016: PET goes to draftThe beer market of Russia was warmed up by the hot summer, but the preparation for large volume PET prohibition has already impacted it negatively. The year was successful for Efes, MBC and regional producers; Carlsberg’s positions were virtually stable but AB InBev and Heineken lost a part of market share having focused on the sales profitability. The dynamics of big brands was determined by how much the companies were willing to keep the prices down or by their promotional activity. In this context the economy segment of the beer market and sales of inexpensive draft beer were increasing. The premium segment started shrinking due to license brands migrating to the mainstream segment.
Beer market of Vietnam: “Young tiger”Vietnam is one of the few big beer markets that continue to grow steadily. The beer popularity results from its low price, street consumption culture, and social motives. The outlooks of beer market as well as the Vietnamese economy inspire optimism, though the country is heavily dependent on export of goods. The state regulation can be called liberal, but the key risk for brewers is harbored in intensive rising of excise. Within TOP-4 there are two leaders, Sabeco and Heineken that grow at the fastest rates. The first company effectively employs its capacities, the second one focuses on marketing technologies. Almost 80% of the market belongs to century-old brands, yet the middle class and the youth are shifting their interest toward international premium that is growing taking share from the mainstream.
Brau Beviale 2012: Tradition, innovation and naturalness
European Beer Star Award and MicroBrew Symposium
Brau Beviale starts a day earlier in 2012 – on Tuesday, 13 November. Some 1,350 exhibitors and a good 31,500 visitors can look forward to the beverage industry’s most important capital goods exhibition in the world this year. Although the event focuses on innovations in the segments of beverage raw materials, technologies, logistics and marketing, N?rnberg also creates impulses for international beverage trends.
In the Chinese horoscope, 2012 is under the sign of the water dragon; a good year, as the dragon is regarded as a lucky charm and symbolizes strength and wealth. The Asian market has enjoyed both these for years. It breaks growth records and produces beverage ideas that have a stimulating impact all over the world. The keywords here are tradition in conjunction with innovation and health. So-called innovative drinks contain ingredients that have long been valued, like tea extracts or elderberry blossom syrup. Regionality coupled with trust in domestic products is doing well under the “back to the roots” aspect. It becomes interesting when drinks create links with other consumption worlds and cross-selling strategies take effect. Also important is that every successful beverage innovation is always supported by a matching container.
Soft drinks more popular than ever worldwide
The global market for soft drinks grew by about 4 % in 2011, mainly thanks to Asia, whose markets accounted for 60 % of the global growth. Asia is currently the biggest player in the soft drinks segment with a share of 27 %. North America holds only just under 20 % and Western Europe 17 %. In 2005, North America still occupied first place with a quarter of global sales. The annual per head consumption in Asia is 40 l. Compared with European and North American consumers, this is only one sixth or one eighth respectively and shows the high future growth potential. Growth can also be expected for soft drinks in Latin America, the Middle East and North Africa. The markets in Western and Eastern Europe are stagnating.
37 % of the soft drinks currently consumed in the world are carbonated. Because some of these contain many calories and still soft drinks are preferred in Asia, the share of carbonated soft drinks could shrink by 4 % by 2016. Bottled water should then be the world’s leading category of soft drinks. Strong growth in the two-figure percentage range is forecast for sport and energy drinks – but starting from a still low level. They account for just 3 % of the global volume of soft drinks (Canadean). In Western Europe, Denmark was the strongest growing market in this segment in 2011, with a per head consumption of approx. 15 l (Euromonitor).
Germany: growth for carbonated drinks, mineral water and medicinal water
The per head consumption of carbonated drinks in Germany rose by 1.6 % to 120.1 l in 2011. Interesting is the large growth of a good 29 % for light lemonades and more than 10 % for near-water drinks (Wirtschaftsvereinigung Alkoholfreie Getr?nke, wafg). The approval of stevia as sweetener offers innovation potential for low-calorie carbonated drinks etc. New products like less sweet orangeade and lemonade with a larger fruit content are in line with the consumers’ wish for more naturalness. Because low-calorie thirst quenchers particularly appeal to women, one manufacturer is testing innovative tea drinks in hairdressing salons. Excitement in the market is provided by near-water drinks, for example with vitamins, coenzymes, zinc or chrome, which are supposed to be good for the health.
Every German drank 134 l (+3.1 %) of mineral and medicinal water in 2011, which means mineral water remained the Germans’ most popular soft drink and the mineral springs sector the biggest employer in the food industry. Carbonated and slightly carbonated mineral water (approx. 43 % each) were drunk most, followed by still (11 %) and aromatized mineral water (2 %), and medicinal water (Verband Deutscher Mineralbrunnen). In order to present mineral and medicinal water better in future, Germany’s first certified water sommeliers recently founded the Vereinigung Wassersommelier-Union (Union of Water Sommeliers) after successfully completing their training at the Doemens Genussakademie.
Italians (175.3 l) and Spaniards (146.2 l) have the biggest thirst for water in Europe. The Germans follow in 3rd place. In the fruit and vegetable juice segment, the Dutch (49.8 l) lead followed by the Germans and Poles (39.6 l each), the Finns (37.8 l) and the British (35.3 l, Euromonitor). The industry is backing drinks with added benefits, e.g. “for healthy cells”, “for the concentration”, “for nerves and muscles” or “for a healthy heart”. Fresh-pressed and – their special feature – non-pasteurized fruit juices that are said to retain all vitamins, nutrients and minerals are also in line with the health trend.
Beer market: two billion hectolitre mark to be topped by 2013
The global beer market is growing – and reached a good 1.9 billion hl (+2.8 %) in 2011. The global per head consumption of beer rose by half a litre to 27.6 l. The American market with a per head consumption of 61.1 l leads Europe (59.3 l) and Asia/Pacific (18 l). Bringing up the rear are Africa and the Middle East (9.1 l, Plato Logic). Global beer consumption is to rise to 2 billion hl by 2013. Asia will also contribute the largest share of this in the future. In China alone, beer sales are to grow to more than 600 million hl by 2016. This means almost twice as much beer is sold in China as in the second largest beer market, the USA (Canadean). Premium beer brands are enjoying ever greater popularity in China and other Asian markets. Their share of Chinese beer consumption reached some 10 % in 2011 (chinabevnews). A strong rise in beer consumption is also expected in Latin America, especially in Brazil (Canadean).
Whereas market researchers assume a slight recovery of beer markets in Eastern Europe by 2016, they forecast slight losses for Western Europe (Canadean). The average West European drank 67.8 l of beer in 2011, the East European 59.4 l – figures that could certainly become similar in future. The Czechs (147.4 l) again had the biggest thirst for beer in Europe in 2011, followed by the Austrians (108.5 l, Plato Logic) and Germans (102 l).
German breweries and beer stores sold a total of some 98.2 million hl of beer – 100,000 hl less than the year before (Federal Statistics Office). Breweries are also backing creative ideas like asparagus beer, a traditionally brewed pilsner to which asparagus juice is added, unusual premium and gourmet beers, forest beer, which is brewed with hops, malt and forest products, or beer for dogs that contains meat extracts instead of alcohol.
US craft brewers show the way – European MicroBrew Symposium
The US market has long since demonstrated that innovative beer ideas are welcomed by consumers. Craft brewers there have achieved one new success after another with a wide variety of creative beer variants. More than 2,000 craft brewers are meanwhile registered in the USA. In 2011 alone, there were 250 new openings as opposed to only 37 closures. Craft brewers brewed about 5.7 % of the US beer volume (+0.7 %) in 2011 (Brewers Association).
A development towards individual, craft-brewed beers can now also be observed in many European countries. This will also become clear at the European Beer Star Award, one of the world’s most important beer competitions, which pays tribute to genuine beers of real character and high quality at Brau Beviale. The first “European MicroBrew Symposium – Market, Trends and Technology” takes up this trend on 12/13 November 2012, immediately before the exhibition. It is organized jointly by N?rnbergMesse and the Versuchs- und Lehranstalt f?r Brauerei (VLB – Brewery Research and Training Institute), Berlin, and is intended for managing directors, proprietors, technical directors and master brewers from European microbreweries and pub breweries, and for representatives from the supply industry: www.vlb-berlin.org/microbrew2012
Package communicates product
An essential feature for all beverage categories worldwide: The product and package must form one unit that communicates perfectly with the planned consumer target group at the point of sale. Experts forecast more growth for PET drink bottles on the world markets. The most recent development projects are in the direction of organic PET bottles, which consist completely of vegetable raw materials and are said to be fully recyclable and suitable for large-scale production. PET bottles have also long since appealed in aesthetic terms. Nevertheless, premium drinks often continue to use glass, and bottles from a star designer are welcome.
In the can segment, the USA leads with an annual per head consumption of 290 canned drinks, a figure that can hardly be topped according to experts. In all other regions of the world, however, the manufacturers expect more growth: more likely in the single-figure percentage range in Europe, but certainly a two-figure amount in Asia, Africa, the Middle East and South America. Cans are also becoming more popular again in Germany. More than a billion drink cans were sold again in 2011, the first time since the introduction of the deposit on disposable containers in 2003. Of interest here are the many possibilities for individual design: digital printing, embossed cans, matt finishes, drink cans that emit fragrances, or cans with integrated “floating capsules”, whose contents are not released until the can is opened. Cans are also capturing new target groups for traditional drinks like cider.
About Brau Beviale
Brau Beviale is the world’s most important capital goods exhibition for the beverage industry in 2012. From 13–15 November (new: Tuesday to Thursday!), over 1,350 exhibitors (2011: 44 % international) present a comprehensive spectrum of high-quality beverage raw materials, innovative technologies, efficient logistics and sparkling marketing ideas in the Exhibition Centre Nuremberg. An unbelievable 98 % of the specialists from breweries and malting houses, producers of non-alcoholic drinks, dairies, winegrowers and suppliers to the brewing and beverage industry were satisfied with the products on display in 2011. A good 31,500 visitors (2011: 36 % international) from technical and commercial management in the European beverage industry are expected at this popular exhibition mix of professional presentation and intensive personal contact.
10 Jul. 2012