10+1 trends of Russian beer market 2015-2017Despite of the moderately negative prognoses for 2017, the beer market can be stabilized soon. Yet the years of the negative dynamics have resulted in marketing being limited just to “optimization” and the art of balancing between price and volumes. Bigger supermarkets share means stronger trade marketing. These processes are connected to the majority of the described trends. At the same time, the federal brands inflation leads to searching for new tastes, sales channels and contact formats that expand the product range and diversify the beer market, but do not imply a substantial volume increase. Let us enumerate and further discuss the ten trends of the beer market we can see in 2015-2017 as well as the major event of 2017.
Beer market of Ukraine 2017In the first half of 2017, the Ukrainian beer market goes on decreasing slowly. Yet, the companies manage to compensate their lost volumes by raising prices and improving the sales structures. This results in the mid price market segment reduction while the sales of premium brands are rising. These processes are connected to position strengthening of companies Carlsberg Group and Oasis and the market share reduction of Obolon. Most of the novelties by the market leaders belong to craft or hard lemon categories.
Beer market of Russia 2016: PET goes to draftThe beer market of Russia was warmed up by the hot summer, but the preparation for large volume PET prohibition has already impacted it negatively. The year was successful for Efes, MBC and regional producers; Carlsberg’s positions were virtually stable but AB InBev and Heineken lost a part of market share having focused on the sales profitability. The dynamics of big brands was determined by how much the companies were willing to keep the prices down or by their promotional activity. In this context the economy segment of the beer market and sales of inexpensive draft beer were increasing. The premium segment started shrinking due to license brands migrating to the mainstream segment.
Beer market of Vietnam: “Young tiger”Vietnam is one of the few big beer markets that continue to grow steadily. The beer popularity results from its low price, street consumption culture, and social motives. The outlooks of beer market as well as the Vietnamese economy inspire optimism, though the country is heavily dependent on export of goods. The state regulation can be called liberal, but the key risk for brewers is harbored in intensive rising of excise. Within TOP-4 there are two leaders, Sabeco and Heineken that grow at the fastest rates. The first company effectively employs its capacities, the second one focuses on marketing technologies. Almost 80% of the market belongs to century-old brands, yet the middle class and the youth are shifting their interest toward international premium that is growing taking share from the mainstream.
Japan. Brewer Asahi tries to make splash in big pond
The purveyor of Super Dry has offered to buy not one but four brewers and beer distributors owned by SABMiller for a total of 2.55 billion euros ($2.85 billion), it said on Wednesday.
The deal would see the makers of Peroni and Grolsch, based in Italy and the Netherlands, respectively, as well as London craft house Meantime Brewing and U.K. distributor Miller Brands go under Japanese ownership.
The sale is conditional on the completion of SABMiller's takeover by Anheuser-Busch InBev, the world's biggest beer company. Asahi seeks to negotiate a final agreement with InBev by summer and complete the transaction this year.
The Japanese brewer's foreign acquisitions have hitherto been concentrated in the Asia-Pacific region. Few have been as large as those made by Kirin Holdings and other domestic rivals seeking overseas growth. As a result, Asahi depends on the home market for nearly 90% of its earnings. With a global market share of just 1.2%, the company ranks 10th and risks becoming a perpetual underdog as the industry realigns.
Asahi is now reaching for a pair of venerable European brands to add some depth to the foreign side of its business. The continued success of Super Dry in Japan helps finance the acquisition, the biggest by a Japanese brewer since Kirin made Brazil's Schincariol wholly owned in 2011.
As a relative latecomer among Japanese brewers to the race for global market share, Asahi was drawn to the European market's stability and wide profit margins. Birra Peroni and Royal Grolsch have loyal followings. The size of Asahi's offer attests to the value it sees in both brewers' brands.
"The attraction was in the brands' local penetration," a senior Asahi executive said of the company's bid.
Peroni ranked as the top-selling brand in Italy in 2014, with a 17.4% share, Euromonitor said. It has extended its lead to more than double the sales of the No. 2 and No. 3 brands. Besides its light namesake brew, Birra Peroni offers the stronger Peroni Forte and Nastro Azzurro, which sells widely at cafes and restaurants.
With an emphasis on detail, Royal Grolsch has carved out a place in a Dutch market dominated by local-brew-turned-global-name Heineken. Grolsch, the third-ranked brand in the Netherlands, according to Euromonitor, is on the heavy side and rather bitter compared with the typical lager. It is sold in distinctive flip-top bottles in supermarkets and other retailers across Europe.
What the European beer market lacks in growth prospects compared with emerging economies it makes up for in size, at one-quarter of the global total, and high unit prices. There is less risk of becoming trapped in a race to the bottom in prices. Given the established market shares of Peroni and Grolsch, Asahi expects stable cash flows. It also will seek to tap local vendor networks to sell Super Dry in Europe, generating additional growth.
But rival Kirin can attest to the difficulty of making acquisitions pay off. Schincariol, now known as Brasil Kirin, has underperformed, resulting in a roughly 114 billion yen ($999 million) extraordinary loss last fiscal year, despite Kirin spending around 300 billion yen in the 2011 buyout.
Europe is farther from Asahi's oversight than its Australia-based Oceania business and has a vastly different corporate culture, presenting a challenge for management.
11 Feb. 2016