Analysis of beer market in China (on Russian)
Beer market of Ukraine: big three losing weightIn 2016, fast increase of excises and resulting price spike stood in the way of the beer market stabilization. Most of competition (as well as mass sorts) moved to the economy segment of the market. The biggest losses were incurred by the leading three, especially Obolon, which again experienced pressure after reallocation of Efes market share. However, one should already speak of TOP-4. Group Oasis CIS (PPB) became a strong player and competitor to transnational companies. Besides the net sales of many regional medium breweries look rather good and 16-fold cost reduction wholesale trade license for craft brewers opens up a possibility of rapid growth in 2017.
Analysis of beer market in China
China’s transition to a “new normal” reality backfired on the brewing industry unexpectedly. Stagnation and subsequent market decline resulted from dynamic social and economic changes. There has emerged a “two speed” market where the medium class significance is growing, yet the share of main beer consumers, “blue collar” is decreasing. Also the inflow of consumers is shrinking, as demographics stopped being a growth driver. Finally, beer is giving way to other alcohol drinks....
Vietnam Government to have $7 billion by selling 12 big SOEs
VTC News quoted Deputy Minister of Industry and Trade Do Thang Hai as reporting that all VND9 trillion worth of the state’s capital in Habeco would be divested within this year.
Meanwhile, the VND40.5 trillion worth of capital in Sabeco would be divested in 2016-2017.
As for the other 10 enterprises to be sold, Nguyen Duc Chi, chair of the State Capital Investment Corporation (SCIC), mentioned well-known names such as Vinamilk (dairy producer), Bao Minh (insurer), Vinare (re-insurance), Tien Phong Plastics, FPT (technology) and FPT Telecom.
Under the Prime Minister’s instruction in Document No 1787 on the SCIC restructuring plan, SCIC will have to withdraw all capital from the 10 enterprises.
Of the 10 enterprises in SCIC’s portfolio, in Vinamilk alone, the State has a 45 percent stake. With the current market price, the State would earn at least $4.52 billion if it sells the stake.
The other nine enterprises, as estimated by Tuoi Tre, have value of $530 million (most of the enterprises list their shares on the bourse or have been equitized). As such, the total capital the state can expect from selling 10 enterprises put under the SCIC’s management is over $5 billion.
There are no official figures about the value of the other two enterprises – Sabeco and Habeco. However, local newspapers reported that in 2014, ThaiBev, a brewery from Thailand, wanted to buy the state’s stake in Sabeco for $2 bilion.
Meanwhile, if referring to the price at which Carlsberg spent to acquire Habeco’s stakes – VND50,000 per share - the state’s shares in Habeco would be valued at $400 million.
As such, if the state divests its capital in 12 enterprises as planned, it would collect $7.2 billion, a large amount of money in the current context of the tight budget.
However, an analyst said it would be very difficult to assess the exact value of enterprises.
If share auctions can be organized in a professional way, the share price may be much higher than the current market price.
However, the situation may be different if the state sells shares in large quantities at the same time (in 2016-2017).
A source from SCIC said that SCIC would sell two out of 10 enterprises it controls in 2016. These include FPT and Sa Giang Import/Export JSC.
12 Sep. 2016