Global hop marketA local alternative to mass beer suggested by independent brewers has been successful and is now altering the global market. Beer is becoming more diversified, so transnational companies have to accept the new game rules and to switch focus to young and fast growing markets. All these processes increased the demand for aroma and bitter hop as well as their acreage expansion on two continents. However now there appeared a downward trend of alcohol consumption in the world, so even special sorts can soon turn to be sufficient. In this connection the dynamic American hop market is already facing some problems. EU hop producers have become more cautious, they are not racing to exceed the demand and look forward with more confidence, judging by the contract terms.
Hop Market in RussiaGermany still dominates the Russian market, yet over the recent two years one has been able observe a continuous success of Czech hop suppliers. Their expansion and growing popularity of hops from the United States became the drivers of supplies growth in 2016 despite the preceding modest harvest crop in the EU, as well as the factor of relative stability in 2017. In this connection, in 2017, the ratio of the varieties continued to shift towards the aroma ones, and the supplies of Magnum hop and other alpha varieties were reduced. However, the import of bitter hop pellets is partially replaced by extracts, especially from the major beer manufacturers. Total volumes of alpha acid supplies, according to our estimation, decreased by approximately 5% and returned to the level of 2015. Barth Haas Group continues dominating the hop products market; HVG also increased its weight. At the same time, Morris Hanbury significantly reduced the supplies in 2017.
10+1 trends of Russian beer market 2015-2017Despite of the moderately negative prognoses for 2017, the beer market can be stabilized soon. Yet the years of the negative dynamics have resulted in marketing being limited just to “optimization” and the art of balancing between price and volumes. Bigger supermarkets share means stronger trade marketing. These processes are connected to the majority of the described trends. At the same time, the federal brands inflation leads to searching for new tastes, sales channels and contact formats that expand the product range and diversify the beer market, but do not imply a substantial volume increase. Let us enumerate and further discuss the ten trends of the beer market we can see in 2015-2017 as well as the major event of 2017.
Beer market of Ukraine 2017In the first half of 2017, the Ukrainian beer market goes on decreasing slowly. Yet, the companies manage to compensate their lost volumes by raising prices and improving the sales structures. This results in the mid price market segment reduction while the sales of premium brands are rising. These processes are connected to position strengthening of companies Carlsberg Group and Oasis and the market share reduction of Obolon. Most of the novelties by the market leaders belong to craft or hard lemon categories.
Beer market of Russia 2016: PET goes to draftThe beer market of Russia was warmed up by the hot summer, but the preparation for large volume PET prohibition has already impacted it negatively. The year was successful for Efes, MBC and regional producers; Carlsberg’s positions were virtually stable but AB InBev and Heineken lost a part of market share having focused on the sales profitability. The dynamics of big brands was determined by how much the companies were willing to keep the prices down or by their promotional activity. In this context the economy segment of the beer market and sales of inexpensive draft beer were increasing. The premium segment started shrinking due to license brands migrating to the mainstream segment.
Beer Wars: Craft Brewers Are Using This Strategy to Compete
While the traditional pale lager has not disappeared from breweries or grocery store shelves, commercial-style beer no longer dominates the industry. Through innovation, narrower margins, and changing American tastes, small-scale, tradition-inspired breweries have grown; in the first half of 2012, craft beer sales represented 6 percent of all beer sold in the United States.
After a long period of dormancy, the craft beer brewing tradition has reasserted itself. Prohibition devastated the local and regional brewery business, which up until that point had been thriving. Once prohibition was lifted in 1933, the Great Depression and the Second World War prevented small, independent breweries, which had previously characterized the American brewing landscape, from taking root. Instead, the breweries that had begun to crop up after the 18th Amendment was repealed were consolidated. Now, the four largest beer companies, Anheuser-Busch InBev (NYSE:BUD), SABMiller (SBMRY.PK), Heineken (HINKY.PK), and Carlsberg, command a 55 percent share of the global market, according the consultancy Marakon.
But as the Wall Street Journal reported on October 1, commercial brewers “face a consumer-led backlash in favor of niche craft beers and microbrewers,” and industry executives fear that the beer business will become like the wine industry, dominated by local producers.
When the 1970s came to a close, there were only 44 brewing companies in the United States, and at the time industry experts predicted that the number would decrease to 5. But craft brewing intervened. According to the Brewers Association, the “renaissance of American craft brewing” came in 1976, with the founding of The New Albion Brewery in Sonoma, California. While its doors were open for only six years, hundreds of home-brewers took inspiration and started breweries of their own in the early 1980s.
Despite the difficult market conditions these small brewers faced entering an industry dominated by brands like Budweiser and Coors (NYSE:TAP), the number of craft breweries in the United States has grown significantly. In 1980, there were only 8 craft brewers, by 1994 there 537, and today’s figure is close to 2,000. Sales of craft beer have grown proportionately as well. In the first half of 2012, craft beer sales rose 12 percent, compared to 13 percent in 2011.
To be considered craft brewer, a company must meet several criteria: the brewery must be small, independent, and traditional. Specifically, this means that the company must brew less than 6 million barrels of beer per year, less than 25 percent of the company can be owned by an alcoholic beverage industry member, and its flagship beer must be an all malt brew or 50 percent of the total volume the company brews must be malt.
These determinants, which are essential to the tradition of craft beer brewing, have made competition with larger, commercial beer companies difficult. However, the breweries’ small size is not only an essential characteristic, it is the factor that has allowed for craft beer to compete successfully against commercial-sized operations.
California is home to more breweries and produces more craft beer than any other state in the U.S., according to statistics provided by the California Craft Brewers Association, a non-profit trade association. When the craft industry reemerged in the 1980s, the movement was centered in the state, and now 1 in 5 bottles of craft beer made in the U.S. is brewed in California. According to the association, “California’s craft brewers have been the drivers of innovation in the beer industry,” because as small and often independently owned businesses, they have the ability to respond quickly to market demands and experiment with new techniques.
San Francisco’s Anchor Brewing Company is the nation’s oldest craft brewing company; founded in 1896, the brewery has long been at the forefront of innovation. “Anchor started it all,” said David Edgar of the Institute of Brewing Studies in 1991. “It’s the granddaddy of the microbreweries.” To combat the difficult market conditions, Anchor pioneered a new brewing method. Rather than using ice, the company began its craft by producing steam beer, a process developed during the Gold Rush to save money.
Russian River Brewery, founded more than a century later, has become a leader in sustainable production. In 2010, the company installed a 110 kilowatt solar energy system that provides 70 to 80 percent of its energy needs. “Our success is the ability to innovate and quickly introduce products to respond to our consumers,” said Russian River’s co-founder Natalie Cilurzo regarding the brewery’s business strategy. And the company has innovated; the list of beers scrawled across a dusty chalkboard at the company’s brewpub lists colorfully named brews ranging from Damnation to Salvation.
The company’s stance is not an unusual one in this industry. Fort Collins, Colorado-based New Belgium Brewing Company, known for its Fat Tire beer brand, pioneered the abbey-style Belgian ales of which American beer drinkers have become fond. Now, instead of expanding further, the company is scaling back its operations, hoping to delve deeper into the brewing process.
Despite New Belgium’s size, the company remains focused on aggressively managing costs in order remain competitive with the commercial brewers. For example, to keep distribution costs in check, the company only sends out and receives full truck loads to maximize fuel efficiency. “We also allow and encourage pooled loads from our distribution center so small distributors will team up and put up to 5 distributors on one truck which will drop at each location as it heads across the country,” said Mason Lathrop, the company’s Order Management Liaison, by e-mail.
However, as the executive director of the California Craft Brewers Association Tom McCormick said, “craft beer by its very nature is produced, somewhat humorously, very inefficiently.” The primary inefficiency, he noted, is that of labor. According to a joint study between the association and the Goldman School of Public Policy at The University of California, Berkeley, for every one hundred barrels of beer produced in the state, one job is created.
But the breweries make up for labor costs by being very “innovative and nimble,” said McCormick. Even though the companies’ margins are much narrower, costs do not translate to the consumer. For a six-pack of beer at Bay Area drugstore, the price difference between a commercial domestic beer, such as Budweiser, and a craft beer is approximately $1.50 for certain brands, although it can be more. Rather than charge more expensive prices, craft brewers cut back on marketing. While commercial companies spend a large percentage of revenue on advertising, he said, craft breweries rely on communities to promote their products at the grassroots level.
The strategy has paid off. As the Wall Street Journal reported, big brewers must now respond to the success of the craft breweries in order to minimize their loss of market share. The publication highlighted several options: commercial brewers can buy craft breweries, as AB InBev did with Shock Top, or they can develop variations of their mainstream beers as the company has tried to do with Bud Light Platinum.
Regardless of the method chosen, “In the future, major brewers may need to support a portfolio of up to 35 brands in the U.S., compared with 15 now, reckons one senior industry executive,” according to the Journal. Furthermore, both options will entail additional marketing and distribution costs that will negatively affect operating margins.
15 Nov. 2012