The trend of complication of Russian beer market is going on and in several directions at the same time. The range has got wider, the import and small segments are growing, namely craft beer, alcohol-free beer and special flavor beer. At the same time, all ex-mega brands and light lagers by Russian brewers are experiencing a decline of their shares. AB InBev Efes, Heineken, MBC and Pivzavod Trekhsosenskiy have exceeded the market, Carlsberg was developing slower than the market and Ochakovo as well as some other mid-sized breweries have been cutting down their volumes. To a big extent brewers’ performance was connected to their ability to reach agreement with networks, sacrifice their margin and enter new markets. Craft brewers are facing a serious danger of producers’ registration introduction – de facto licensing. ...
The global outlooks of the legal market of cannabis are excellent. It is possible to simultaneously imagine dry law repeal and craft brewing boom but not in one but in several consumer categories. For alcohol is contained in liquids and cannabis derivatives can be in three physical forms. The value of legal market of cannabis and its products can reach 10% of the world beer market in five years, and in 2030-2040 even reach the same scope provided the current rates of legalization and development of market infrastructure remain at the same level. Cannabinoids are actively integrating into the food industry from chewing gum to beverages deforming the pharmaceutical and alcohol markets, they influence the trends of healthy lifestyle and beauty. ...
Beer market of Kazakhstan acquired both traits of East European countries and South Eastern Asia taking a transitional position between them by many criteria and consumption style. Yet there is a positive trend in beer production which differs Kazakhstan from most of the neighboring countries. The market has remained consolidated in the hands of two international players because of its small size. However, it faces dynamic processes such as fast growth of draft beer sales, up and downs of regional companies and Carlsberg Group’s ultimate expansion. Excessive mainstream segment has declined over the recent years, yet, Zhigulevskoe and national brands with regional links have yielded their positions to a range of new products. In our review special attention was paid to regional analysis of the markets. In 14 regions of Kazakhstan we compared the companies’ positions, the market price segmentation and DIOT channel development. Besides we have compared the beer market of Kazakhstan to neighboring countries. ...
Thailand. Red-hot ThaiBev expected to shine further
And while the counter has cooled slightly recently owing to some profit-taking, market watchers still see ThaiBev as a good buy for the long term, as the company continues to achieve a deeper market share and wider regional presence.
Since the start of the year, ThaiBev has gained 48.2 per cent to 99 cents at the last close, easily the best performer of the 30 Straits Times Index component stocks. The next best was Sats, up 28.5 per cent. Overall, the STI has declined 0.87 per cent so far this year.
ThaiBev's surge - part of a gradual build-up since 2012 and far above the initial public offering price of 28 cents - has defied January's stock market volatility and the Brexit-triggered panic in June.
The company - controlled by Thai billionaire Charoen Sirivadhanabhakdi as chairman and his son Thapana as chief executive - is now the fifth largest on the STI, with a market value of $24.86 billion, behind Singtel, DBS Group Holdings, OCBC and United Overseas Bank.
Part of this growth is down to the strong momentum in its alcoholic beverage business, as shown in the second quarter and half-year results reported earlier this month.
While total net profit slid 1 per cent year-on-year in the three months to June 30 owing to lower contribution from associates, including drink company Fraser and Neave (F&N) and property group Frasers Centrepoint, ThaiBev's core net profit jumped 19.1 per cent to 5.42 billion baht (about S$212 million) in the second quarter, or a better 24.5 per cent to 13.11 billion baht in the first half of the year.
DBS analyst Andy Sim projected ThaiBev's core profit growth - excluding the disposal gain by F&N last year when it sold its stake in Myanmar Brewery - to be about 24 per cent for the full year, with momentum supported by broad growth.
"The spirits segment, which is their main business, is stable and generating healthy cashflow. The beer business has increased its market share in Thailand to about 40 per cent, and that has remained stable even after they raised the selling price in May," Mr Sim told The Straits Times.
ThaiBev drew 55.1 per cent of total sales from spirits products, such as Hong Thong and Blend 285, while 32.6 per cent came from beer products, such as ThaiBev's mass-market flagship beer, Chang.
The rebranding campaign it launched late last year was successful in giving Chang a more contemporary packaging and appeal to young consumers, Mr Sim noted. There was a 70.4 per cent surge in beer revenue for the first half of this year, while spirits revenue grew 3.3 per cent.
"Performance in the non-alcoholic department is also improving, with losses coming down. Its main priority here is to break even in 2018," he added. Non-alcohol product revenue, from the likes of F&N's sports drink 100Plus and green tea range Oishi, rose 8 per cent in the first half and net loss narrowed by 31.1 per cent.
Under the Vision 2020 plan announced in 2014, ThaiBev intends to diversify its revenue make-up to see over half of it coming from non- alcoholic products. The management also wants over half of its revenue coming from outside Thailand, which currently accounts for more than 90 per cent of its turnover.
ThaiBev rolled out its Oishi products in Singapore in March last year, after bringing 100Plus into Thailand in February.
The push for wider reach and greater diversification is a work in progress, but, for the moment, the strong sales is making ThaiBev a very cash-rich company - with operating net cash up 62.4 per cent to 13.85 billion baht in the first half - and a very solid pick for investors, who can also expect an indicated dividend yield of 2.58 per cent.
KGI Fraser Securities trading strategist Nicholas Teo was also among those impressed. "It's just a very good story all around. Aside from its successful plans to re-engineer the business and products for growth, ThaiBev is also one of the few counters in the defensive consumer segment, supported by its strong position in Thailand."
Inevitably, there will be profit- taking, with ThaiBev shares down 5.4 per cent since the start of this month.
But Mr Teo said: "The price may have run a little ahead, but with a price to earnings ratio of around 22, it's by no means overvalued if you look at other defensive counters - healthcare, for instance - that are trading at 30, even 40 times."
Mr Sim said: "Our 12-month target is $1.13, which means a 10 per cent or so potential upside as the company continues to execute its strategies and deliver growth."
29 Авг. 2016