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3-2019

Russia: Positions of Brewing Companies

The review contains an analysis of interim performance of brewers in the first half of 2019. There are rather dynamic changes behind a modest industry growth. Baltika is again experiencing a stage of volumes and market share slid due to competition with AB InBev Efes. Because of the price competition and presence expansion in the modern trade company #2. has come close to the leading position. At the same time sales of Heineken Russia have continued growing which makes the premium part of the portfolio heavier. The market premiumization trend had been also confirmed by import brands. MBC and Zavod Trekhsosenskiy have been the most successful among federal market players. The market share of independent regional brewers and Ochakovo have continued falling as they are being squeezed out by the market leaders at their competitive fields.

Ukrainian beer market 2019: companies and brands

In 2019 beer production and market have been still fluctuating about zero point. However, the past season was successful for brewers judging by the sales profitability. The price mix has improved due to rapid general market premiumization, as well as its particular aspect, the growth of import beer sales. By the season end AB InBev Efes improved its positions considerably. It turned out that consumers had not forgot Efes brands that had to leave the market, but started to recover rapidly. Against the stagnating market that meant sales decline of other companies, in the first place Carlsberg Group that most of all beneficiated from Efes exiting the market. PPB turned out to be stable to branding activity of its competitor and Obolon kept the same volumes and at the moment it is the absolute leader of the economy segment. The share growth of independent producers took place thanks to leading craft breweries, that so far do not have a big market weight, but they are rapidly gaining it.

Brewing industry in Kazakhstan 2019

During the first half of 2019, the majority of Kazakh brewers made their contribution into positive dynamics. Yet it was companies of the lower division, not the two transnational leaders that raised their production and sales. The shares of draft beer and aluminum can which is rapidly squeezing glass bottle out of the market, have been growing. The price segmentation has remained stable despite the substantial rise of retail prices and fluctuations of brand market shares, while the borders between segments have become blurred. The main events in the industry have been: the announced revision of the beer excise policy, launch of BeerKhan brand in the strong beer segment, and most important – purchasing assets of Shymkentbeer by Arasan.

Recommended Proposal to Acquire Foster’s at A$5.10 per share

SABMiller plc ("SABMiller") announces that it has agreed with Foster's Group Limited ("Foster's") a recommended cash offer to Foster's shareholders at A$5.10 per share (see endnote 1), which values Foster's equity at approximately A$9.9 billion.

As part of the transaction, and in line with Foster's previously announced capital management initiative, Foster's will pay its shareholders a return of capital of A$0.30 per share prior to closing, reflecting both the confirmed value of historic tax losses and a better cash/net debt position than assumed in SABMiller's initial proposal.

The agreed proposal represents an acquisition enterprise value of A$11.5 billion, which is a 2.8% increase on the enterprise value of A$11.2 billion implied by SABMiller's initial proposal announced on 21 June 2011 (see endnote 2).

The acquisition of Foster's is consistent with SABMiller's strategic priorities and will provide SABMiller with:

exposure to Australia's strong economic growth prospects;
a leading position in the stable and profitable Australian beer industry; and
the opportunity to apply SABMiller's capabilities and scale to improve Foster's financial and operating performance.
The acquisition is expected to be EPS enhancing for SABMiller in the first full year of ownership and economic returns are expected to exceed the project WACC by year 5.

SABMiller and Foster's have agreed that the offer will be effected by means of a scheme of arrangement to be proposed by Foster's to its shareholders.

The scheme of arrangement is recommended by the Foster's board and is subject to a number of customary conditions, detailed in a scheme implementation deed, the principal terms of which are summarised in Attachment 1 to this announcement. A full copy of the scheme implementation deed will be available shortly on SABMiller's website.

The scheme implementation deed provides for the ordinary conduct of Foster's business from signing until completion, and arrangements for merger and implementation planning before closing. It specifies that in certain circumstances, including if a higher valued competing transaction is announced and completed within twelve months, Foster's will pay to SABMiller a break fee of A$99 million, being 1% of the equity value of the recommended transaction.

Foster's has commenced the process of obtaining a ruling from the Australian Tax Office ("ATO") confirming the tax treatment of the capital reduction.

SABMiller has internal resources and committed financing to fund the cash consideration, and SABMiller expects to maintain a strong investment grade credit profile.

As previously announced, SABMiller has separately reached agreement with Coca-Cola Amatil Limited to be able to acquire its share of the Pacific Beverages Pty Limited joint venture should SABMiller acquire a controlling interest in Foster's.

SABMiller has entered into a number of cash settled equity swap contracts that provide it with an economic exposure equivalent to 78 million shares (being approximately 4.0% of the total number of issued Foster's shares), which will reduce SABMiller's aggregate cash cost of the transaction consideration by approximately A$69 million.

SABMiller and Foster's have agreed to work together to prepare the necessary documents to be considered by Foster's shareholders. The scheme document is expected to be posted to Foster's shareholders in approximately six weeks. If approved by shareholders at the relevant scheme meetings later this year, SABMiller expects the acquisition to be completed before the end of 2011.

Unanimous Directors' Recommendation

The Directors of Foster's have unanimously recommended that shareholders vote in favour of the scheme of arrangement and capital reduction, and have committed to voting their own interests in favour of the proposals, in the absence of a higher valued competing proposal and subject to an independent expert confirming that the proposal is in the best interests of Foster's shareholders.

Conclusion

Commenting on the agreement, SABMiller's Chief Executive, Graham Mackay, said:

"We are pleased that we have reached agreement on a recommended transaction to be put to Foster's shareholders.

"Foster's will become an important part of our business, and through the application of our commercial capabilities and global scale, we expect to build on the initiatives that Foster's management has put in place, further enhancing Foster's performance and creating value for our shareholders.

"Foster's has a long-standing and proud reputation as one of the leading companies in Australia. We look forward to working with Foster's employees and other stakeholders to ensure the success of Foster's in the future as the largest brewer in Australia with an outstanding portfolio of brands."

Endnote 1

References in this announcement to Foster's shares and to Foster's shareholders are references to fully paid shares. Different provisions consistent with their terms of issue will apply to partly-paid shares in Foster's. The number of partly paid shares is not material.

Endnote 2

The acquisition enterprise value is calculated as follows:

Equity value paid to Foster's shareholders - A$9,901m
Plus: Estimated net debt at Dec-11 - A$1,377m
Plus: A$0.30 per share capital return - A$582m
Plus: Minority interests - A$12m
Less: Estimated present value of historic tax losses - A$400m
Acquisition enterprise value - A$11,472m
Webcast and conference call

A live audio webcast of a presentation to investors hosted by SABMiller's Chief Executive, Graham Mackay and Chief Financial Officer, Jamie Wilson will begin at 11:30 am London time / 8:30 pm Sydney time on 21 September 2011. To access the webcast or download a copy of the presentation, visit www.sabmiller.com.

23 Сен. 2011

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