Dmitry Nekrasov’s Philosophy — on the Past, Present and Future of Ukrainian Brewing IndustryA meeting with Dmitry Nekrasov always turns into a training course: “Introduction to brewing business“. We are talking to a clever “playing trainer“ a person that can be called a godfather of the Ukrainian craft. He has a dozen of successful projects to his name. Dmitry told us about craft beer in Ukraine, on market cycles, on specifity of operating in retail and HoReCa, on union of Ukrainian brewers and certainly, how a brewery of his own, First Dnipro Brewery is doing.
The market of import beer in Russia: review and databasesThe market of import beer is rapidly growing and changing. But while in the past years it was growing due to brands variety, in 2019 major and affordable brands from TOP-10 were developing actively. It seems that the fact of a brand origin from far abroad counties, even if it is not well known but has moderate price and good distribution provides for million liters of sales in the territory of Russia. Among distributors AB InBev Efes was far behind, yet the role of Baltika and suppliers of the second row got more important. The boom of German brands was followed by stagnation of import from other traditional regions (and Belarus) instead the supplies from Mexico, Lithuania and Asian countries grew considerably.
Russia: Positions of Brewing CompaniesThe review contains an analysis of interim performance of brewers in the first half of 2019. There are rather dynamic changes behind a modest industry growth. Baltika is again experiencing a stage of volumes and market share slid due to competition with AB InBev Efes. Because of the price competition and presence expansion in the modern trade company #2. has come close to the leading position. At the same time sales of Heineken Russia have continued growing which makes the premium part of the portfolio heavier. The market premiumization trend had been also confirmed by import brands. MBC and Zavod Trekhsosenskiy have been the most successful among federal market players. The market share of independent regional brewers and Ochakovo have continued falling as they are being squeezed out by the market leaders at their competitive fields.
Ukrainian beer market 2019: companies and brandsIn 2019 beer production and market have been still fluctuating about zero point. However, the past season was successful for brewers judging by the sales profitability. The price mix has improved due to rapid general market premiumization, as well as its particular aspect, the growth of import beer sales. By the season end AB InBev Efes improved its positions considerably. It turned out that consumers had not forgot Efes brands that had to leave the market, but started to recover rapidly. Against the stagnating market that meant sales decline of other companies, in the first place Carlsberg Group that most of all beneficiated from Efes exiting the market. PPB turned out to be stable to branding activity of its competitor and Obolon kept the same volumes and at the moment it is the absolute leader of the economy segment. The share growth of independent producers took place thanks to leading craft breweries, that so far do not have a big market weight, but they are rapidly gaining it.
Brewing industry in Kazakhstan 2019During the first half of 2019, the majority of Kazakh brewers made their contribution into positive dynamics. Yet it was companies of the lower division, not the two transnational leaders that raised their production and sales. The shares of draft beer and aluminum can which is rapidly squeezing glass bottle out of the market, have been growing. The price segmentation has remained stable despite the substantial rise of retail prices and fluctuations of brand market shares, while the borders between segments have become blurred. The main events in the industry have been: the announced revision of the beer excise policy, launch of BeerKhan brand in the strong beer segment, and most important – purchasing assets of Shymkentbeer by Arasan.
The trend of complication of Russian beer market is going on and in several directions at the same time. The range has got wider, the import and small segments are growing, namely craft beer, alcohol-free beer and special flavor beer. At the same time, all ex-mega brands and light lagers by Russian brewers are experiencing a decline of their shares. AB InBev Efes, Heineken, MBC and Pivzavod Trekhsosenskiy have exceeded the market, Carlsberg was developing slower than the market and Ochakovo as well as some other mid-sized breweries have been cutting down their volumes. To a big extent brewers’ performance was connected to their ability to reach agreement with networks, sacrifice their margin and enter new markets. Craft brewers are facing a serious danger of producers’ registration introduction – de facto licensing. ...
China. Ziemann Holvrieka has a 40 percent share of the domestic market
"The most obvious opportunity is the modernization of beverage and the food supply chain. That is a big area and there are lots of investments going on there," said Roed. "The demand for beer, milk, yogurt, juice and soft drinks will also provide all sorts of opportunities for equipment and ingredient businesses. We have seen lots of potential in this sector, not only in China, but in many dynamic emerging economies."
Ziemann Holvrieka's factory in Nantong earned more than 100 million yuan ($15.34 million) in overseas markets by supplying beer-making equipment and plant development projects in 2015, up 10 percent year-on-year.
As China is upgrading its manufacturing, the domestic beer segment will inevitably enter an era of saturation where market conditions will be tough, Roed said.
Owing to sluggish market conditions, Carlsberg, the world's fourth-largest beer brewer, plans to close factories in East China before 2018, including some of the assets it acquired from Chongqing Beer (Group) Co Ltd in Anhui and Zhejiang provinces.
So, the ASEAN region and South America will be key to Ziemann Holvrieka as it increases its investment in marketing and resource integration over the next five years, Roed said.
"The great challenge is keeping supply and demand in balance in new markets. I am confident that the balance of supply and demand will be met in markets such as Vietnam and Brazil in the future," Roed said. "Technology and prompt after-sales service are going to be key."
In addition to overseas market expansion, Ziemann Holvrieka is working with its key customers in various countries to deliver innovation in areas such as nutrition, new restaurant menus and risk-management solutions. These innovations will help bring increased product and menu diversity, while ensuring a sustainable source of beverage and food products at a fair value.
Beer consumption is analyzed in terms of outdoor and indoor drinking. Indoor consumption is mostly of medium and high-end products. Outdoor consumption accounts for medium and low-end products, consumed at street vendors and night meal providers. Outdoor businesses are easily affected by weather.
Ding Lixin, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences in Beijing, said it is reasonable for domestic beer and beverage equipment suppliers to seek more market growth points from emerging markets to retain stable growth. For, markets in the ASEAN region, Brazil, Nigeria are not easily affected by cold weather conditions because of their geographic locations.
"Ziemann Holvrieka's equipment and EPC project business, and growing demand for beer and beverage products in emerging markets, have brought more choices to consumers to choose local beer or drink brands, as they have better and more options to pick products that they think are cheaper, safer and better in taste, instead of only selecting beer products from developed markets," Ding said.
1 Мар. 2016