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Global hop market

A local alternative to mass beer suggested by independent brewers has been successful and is now altering the global market. Beer is becoming more diversified, so transnational companies have to accept the new game rules and to switch focus to young and fast growing markets. All these processes increased the demand for aroma and bitter hop as well as their acreage expansion on two continents. However now there appeared a downward trend of alcohol consumption in the world, so even special sorts can soon turn to be sufficient. In this connection the dynamic American hop market is already facing some problems. EU hop producers have become more cautious, they are not racing to exceed the demand and look forward with more confidence, judging by the contract terms. 

Hop Market in Russia

Germany still dominates the Russian market, yet over the recent two years one has been able observe a continuous success of Czech hop suppliers. Their expansion and growing popularity of hops from the United States became the drivers of supplies growth in 2016 despite the preceding modest harvest crop in the EU, as well as the factor of relative stability in 2017. In this connection, in 2017, the ratio of the varieties continued to shift towards the aroma ones, and the supplies of Magnum hop and other alpha varieties were reduced. However, the import of bitter hop pellets is partially replaced by extracts, especially from the major beer manufacturers. Total volumes of alpha acid supplies, according to our estimation, decreased by approximately 5% and returned to the level of 2015. Barth Haas Group continues dominating the hop products market; HVG also increased its weight. At the same time, Morris Hanbury significantly reduced the supplies in 2017.

Competition bubbles as Vietnam sells state brewers

20161114vietnam_article_main_imageWith the Vietnamese government set to sell major stakes in two state-run beer producers, Japanese and European brewers hope to jump in and capitalize on the country's growing suds market.

Vietnam ranks 11th in the world for beer consumption, according to 2014 data compiled by leading Japanese brewer Kirin Brewery. In Asia, it is the third-largest imbiber after China and Japan, which place first and seventh, respectively, in the world.

Beer consumption in Vietnam increased 6% in 2014 from the previous year, the largest gain among high-ranked nations, Kirin said.

Demand for beer is expected to continue growing in the country in light of population increases and the emergence of the middle class.

Tapping the keg

The Vietnamese government has an 89.6% stake in Saigon Beer Alcohol Beverage and an 82% stake in Hanoi Beer Alcohol Beverage. Together, the two companies account for around 60% of market share in the country. As part of its reform of state-run enterprises, the government will sell a 53.6% stake in Saigon Beer this year and the remaining 36% stake in 2017. It will sell its entire interest in Hanoi Beer by the end of this year.

Kirin and two other major Japanese brewers, Asahi Group Holdings and Sapporo Breweries, are looking to acquire both Vietnamese companies.

Sapporo began operating a brewery on its own in Vietnam in 2011 and has since been selling its high-end Sapporo Premium beer. It put a lower-priced product, called Blue Cap, on the local market earlier this year.

But as Sapporo has yet to capture a major share of the Vietnamese market, it hopes to acquire stakes in Saigon Beer and Hanoi Beer in order to boost sales. Sapporo President Tsutomu Kamijo is considering ways to get involved in management of the two Vietnamese brewers, including proposing joint ventures and offering entry into the Sapporo group.

Kirin Holdings, which acquired the largest brewer in Myanmar last year, is looking to expand operations in Southeast Asia, while Asahi hopes to catch up with Kirin in international operations through the Vietnamese stakes.

The three Japanese brewers "should be evaluated for their strategy of capitalizing on the growth of the Vietnamese market," an analyst said.

Suntory Holdings, another leading Japanese brewer, maintains a cautious stance on the Vietnamese market as it is busy integrating operations with Beam, the American spirits maker it acquired in 2014.

Lurking hangover?

The cost of acquiring the Vietnamese brewers, however, stands as an obstacle. Stakes in the two local brewers are expected to cost some 200 billion yen ($1.86 billion).

Sapporo has made two large acquisitions to date, spending some 30 billion yen each to take over Canadian brewer Sleeman Breweries in 2006 and Japanese beverage maker Pokka in 2011.

Asahi acquired four European brewers, including Italy's Peroni Brewery, for around 290 billion yen. It is also considering a plan to spend more than 500 billion yen on the acquisition of five Eastern European brewers.

Kirin is shifting its priority to the rehabilitation of unprofitable units, including the domestic soft drink business and operations in Brazil.

The Vietnamese stakes look to be a high hurdle for Japanese brewers because of acquisition costs and each company's current strategies and financial condition. But one idea floated is to team up and form a consortium.

While Danish brewer Carlsberg has an interest of nearly 20% in Hanoi Beer, Anheuser-Bush InBev of Belgium, the world's largest brewer, is also interested in placing the two Vietnamese companies under its wing.

Vietnam's beer market is looking bubbly indeed.

15 Ноя. 2016



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